Compendium › Bruno Breakout › PEP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEP
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:50:00+00 • 7 trades executed

-11.09%
2 Years Return
$9,190.56
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$10,336.89
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:55:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.8/35
Total Return
28.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 83.1/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,336.89
Current Value
$9,190.56
Total P&L
$-1,146.33
Max Drawdown
-15.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+7.81%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
-1.83%
Avg Hold Time
19.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$111,845.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,146.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,146.33
Gross Return
-11.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,336.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $179.59 57 $10,236.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 9:30am ET $170.60 57 $9,724.20 $9,824.46 $-512.43
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $152.55 64 $9,763.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 10:25am ET $144.48 64 $9,246.41 $9,307.67 $-516.79
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $152.56 61 $9,305.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $142.60 61 $8,698.60 $8,700.41 $-607.26
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET $143.95 60 $8,637.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $155.19 60 $9,311.36 $9,374.62 +$674.21
(+7.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $148.29 63 $9,342.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $145.86 63 $9,188.87 $9,221.09 $-153.53
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $167.47 55 $9,210.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $166.91 55 $9,180.32 $9,190.56 $-30.53
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,190.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-809.44
Total Return: -8.09%
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