RIVN Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 34 trades executed
-36.23%
2 Years Return
$5,818.29
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$9,123.91
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
3.2/100
× Confidence 0.77
= 2.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
81,449
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,123.91
Current Value
$5,818.29
Total P&L
$-3,305.62
Max Drawdown
-60.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
28
Winners / Losers
6 /
22
Best Trade
+17.46%
Worst Trade
-7.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.92%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$342,147.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,305.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,305.62
Gross Return
-36.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,123.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $9.34 | 892 | $8,331.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2024 9:50am ET | $10.97 | 892 | $9,785.24 | $9,792.91 |
+$1,454.23 (+17.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $11.33 | 864 | $9,789.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2024 12:30pm ET | $10.76 | 864 | $9,296.64 | $9,300.43 |
$-492.48 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $12.16 | 764 | $9,289.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 12:00pm ET | $11.54 | 764 | $8,816.56 | $8,827.21 |
$-473.22 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $15.40 | 573 | $8,821.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2024 12:20pm ET | $14.54 | 573 | $8,331.42 | $8,337.29 |
$-489.92 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 28, 2024 9:35am ET | $15.04 | 554 | $8,329.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 28, 2024 10:00am ET | $14.22 | 554 | $7,877.88 | $7,885.78 |
$-451.51 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $10.58 | 745 | $7,879.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 11:00am ET | $10.04 | 745 | $7,476.08 | $7,482.73 |
$-403.05 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $12.25 | 610 | $7,475.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2024 9:40am ET | $11.58 | 610 | $7,060.75 | $7,068.30 |
$-414.43 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $13.78 | 512 | $7,055.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET | $13.08 | 512 | $6,694.40 | $6,707.70 |
$-360.60 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.66 | 457 | $6,699.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.87 | 457 | $6,338.59 | $6,346.67 |
$-361.03 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.09 | 450 | $6,340.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $13.38 | 450 | $6,021.00 | $6,027.17 |
$-319.50 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.98 | 402 | $6,019.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $14.21 | 402 | $5,710.41 | $5,717.63 |
$-309.54 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.84 | 445 | $5,713.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.01 | 445 | $5,344.45 | $5,348.24 |
$-369.39 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.82 | 417 | $5,345.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.08 | 417 | $5,035.28 | $5,037.57 |
$-310.67 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.17 | 413 | $5,026.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 3:05pm ET | $11.56 | 413 | $4,772.22 | $4,783.57 |
$-254.00 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.00 | 398 | $4,776.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $11.09 | 398 | $4,413.78 | $4,421.35 |
$-362.22 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $11.84 | 373 | $4,416.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $11.16 | 373 | $4,162.68 | $4,167.71 |
$-253.64 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $11.48 | 363 | $4,167.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $10.90 | 363 | $3,954.89 | $3,955.35 |
$-212.36 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.03 | 328 | $3,944.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $13.83 | 328 | $4,536.24 | $4,547.39 |
+$592.04 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $14.82 | 306 | $4,533.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $17.05 | 306 | $5,217.30 | $5,231.30 |
+$683.91 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.87 | 406 | $5,223.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 10:20am ET | $12.22 | 406 | $4,961.32 | $4,969.43 |
$-261.87 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.30 | 373 | $4,960.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 12:45pm ET | $15.38 | 373 | $5,736.70 | $5,745.23 |
+$775.80 (+15.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.52 | 370 | $5,740.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:30pm ET | $14.69 | 370 | $5,433.45 | $5,438.13 |
$-307.10 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $17.19 | 316 | $5,432.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:10pm ET | $16.21 | 316 | $5,122.36 | $5,128.48 |
$-309.65 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.69 | 274 | $5,121.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $21.56 | 274 | $5,908.45 | $5,915.87 |
+$787.39 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.75 | 353 | $5,912.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $15.91 | 353 | $5,615.42 | $5,619.24 |
$-296.63 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.77 | 335 | $5,617.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $15.91 | 335 | $5,331.52 | $5,332.85 |
$-286.39 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.57 | 342 | $5,324.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.75 | 342 | $5,044.50 | $5,052.41 |
$-280.44 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.39 | 328 | $5,047.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $17.73 | 328 | $5,813.80 | $5,818.29 |
+$765.88 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,818.29
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,181.71
Total Return:
-41.82%