Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 8 trades in period

+38.04%
Year to Date Return
$14,159.54
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,257.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.2/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 16.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,393
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,257.69
Current Value
$14,159.54
Period P&L
$3,901.85
Max Drawdown
-43.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+16.42%
Worst Trade
-6.90%
Avg Trade Return
+4.68%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$188,376.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,901.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,901.85
Gross Return
+38.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,257.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $10.42 984 $10,253.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $9.87 984 $9,711.98 $9,716.39 $-541.30
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $7.26 1,337 $9,713.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $8.35 1,337 $11,170.63 $11,173.72 +$1,457.33
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.39 1,331 $11,167.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $9.68 1,331 $12,881.42 $12,888.05 +$1,714.33
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,388 $12,880.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,388 $11,992.32 $11,999.73 $-888.32
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $8.57 1,399 $11,996.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 1,399 $11,192.00 $11,195.31 $-804.42
(-6.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,190 $11,186.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:50am ET $10.82 1,190 $12,881.75 $12,891.06 +$1,695.75
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $11.85 1,087 $12,880.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 1,087 $12,152.55 $12,162.66 $-728.40
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $11.11 1,094 $12,159.81 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $12.94 1,094 $14,156.69 $14,159.54 +$1,996.88
(+16.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,159.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,159.54
Total Return: +41.60%
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