Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SOXL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOXL
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 23 trades in period

+217.89%
Year to Date Return
$34,827.98
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,956.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:35:49

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.4/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 49.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 48.5

30-Day Momentum

51
+28.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.2 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,328
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
116 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,956.00
Current Value
$34,827.98
Period P&L
$23,871.98
Max Drawdown
-44.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
13 / 10
Best Trade
+22.24%
Worst Trade
-8.94%
Avg Trade Return
+6.40%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$918,103.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$23,871.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$23,871.98
Gross Return
+217.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+217.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 116 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,956.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $38.86 246 $9,558.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.50 246 $11,684.04 $11,722.56 +$2,125.71
(+22.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 219 $11,714.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 219 $10,821.89 $10,830.13 $-892.43
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $55.12 196 $10,802.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $63.92 196 $12,528.32 $12,555.91 +$1,725.78
(+16.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $65.50 191 $12,510.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $62.07 191 $11,855.37 $11,900.78 $-655.13
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 206 $11,843.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $63.33 206 $13,045.98 $13,102.79 +$1,202.01
(+10.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $68.44 191 $13,071.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $64.00 191 $12,224.02 $12,255.07 $-847.72
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 218 $12,253.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $53.38 218 $11,636.84 $11,638.13 $-616.94
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.14 223 $11,627.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 223 $10,940.38 $10,951.27 $-686.86
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $54.38 201 $10,930.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $51.07 201 $10,265.47 $10,286.36 $-664.91
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 240 $10,278.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 240 $11,994.00 $12,002.36 +$1,716.00
(+16.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 219 $11,963.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 219 $14,596.04 $14,634.43 +$2,632.07
(+22.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.81 195 $14,587.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.11 195 $16,791.29 $16,837.77 +$2,203.34
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 171 $16,817.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $113.27 171 $19,369.17 $19,389.94 +$2,552.17
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 168 $19,276.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $132.79 168 $22,308.72 $22,422.34 +$3,032.40
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 165 $22,376.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 165 $25,740.00 $25,785.40 +$3,363.06
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $162.00 159 $25,758.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $186.55 159 $29,661.45 $29,688.85 +$3,903.45
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $182.05 163 $29,674.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $165.77 163 $27,020.51 $27,035.21 $-2,653.64
(-8.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $162.08 166 $26,905.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $187.53 166 $31,129.98 $31,259.91 +$4,224.70
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $235.90 132 $31,138.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $223.66 132 $29,523.11 $29,644.22 $-1,615.69
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $240.40 123 $29,569.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $277.78 123 $34,166.94 $34,241.96 +$4,597.74
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.74 163 $34,187.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $197.83 163 $32,246.29 $32,300.63 $-1,941.33
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $194.54 166 $32,293.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $225.08 166 $37,362.52 $37,369.51 +$5,068.88
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $264.52 141 $37,296.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $246.49 141 $34,755.09 $34,827.98 $-2,541.53
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,827.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,827.98
Total Return: +248.28%
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