Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

-4.17%
Year to Date Return
$4,885.55
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$5,098.33
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:21:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 1.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,662
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,098.33
Current Value
$4,885.55
Period P&L
$-212.78
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+15.12%
Worst Trade
-12.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
14.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$30,736.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-212.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-212.78
Gross Return
-4.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $5,098.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 102 $5,081.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $47.31 102 $4,825.62 $4,842.77 $-255.56
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $49.86 97 $4,836.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.40 97 $5,567.80 $5,574.15 +$731.38
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.29 97 $5,557.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 97 $4,868.53 $4,885.55 $-688.60
(-12.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,885.55
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,114.45
Total Return: -51.14%
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