Compendium › Bruno Breakout › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-29 19:55:00+00 • 24 trades executed

+35.52%
2 Years Return
$10,970.17
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$8,094.83
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-30 12:02:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
15.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.46%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.72
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.9
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 30, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 9.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,011
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-30 → 2026-05-29
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,094.83
Current Value
$10,970.17
Total P&L
$2,875.34
Max Drawdown
-27.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+15.46%
Worst Trade
-6.31%
Avg Trade Return
+1.94%
Avg Hold Time
15.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$396,458.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,875.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,875.34
Gross Return
+35.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,094.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET $45.47 178 $8,093.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET $43.18 178 $7,686.04 $7,687.21 $-407.62
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2024 9:30am ET $46.93 163 $7,649.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2024 9:35am ET $44.54 163 $7,260.02 $7,297.31 $-389.90
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $43.01 169 $7,268.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET $47.58 169 $8,041.02 $8,069.64 +$772.33
(+10.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET $46.37 174 $8,068.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 10:30am ET $53.54 174 $9,315.96 $9,317.22 +$1,247.58
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $61.10 152 $9,287.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $58.03 152 $8,820.56 $8,850.58 $-466.64
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET $58.00 152 $8,816.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 10:05am ET $66.79 152 $10,152.08 $10,186.66 +$1,336.08
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
31d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $56.96 178 $10,138.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $54.06 178 $9,622.68 $9,670.46 $-516.20
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET $53.05 182 $9,655.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 9:30am ET $50.18 182 $9,132.76 $9,148.12 $-522.34
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $43.74 209 $9,141.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:25am ET $41.27 209 $8,625.43 $8,631.89 $-516.23
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $44.49 194 $8,631.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $51.23 194 $9,938.62 $9,939.45 +$1,307.56
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
11 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $54.14 183 $9,906.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $62.26 183 $11,393.56 $11,426.05 +$1,486.60
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $63.84 178 $11,363.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $73.42 178 $13,068.76 $13,131.29 +$1,705.24
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $90.54 145 $13,128.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $84.83 145 $12,300.35 $12,303.34 $-827.95
(-6.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $88.50 139 $12,301.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $83.93 139 $11,666.27 $11,668.11 $-635.23
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $83.24 140 $11,653.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $78.91 140 $11,047.40 $11,062.33 $-605.78
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $76.78 144 $11,056.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $72.72 144 $10,471.68 $10,477.69 $-584.64
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $80.40 130 $10,452.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $76.31 130 $9,920.30 $9,945.99 $-531.70
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 144 $9,898.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $72.32 144 $10,413.36 $10,461.08 +$515.09
(+5.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $72.92 143 $10,427.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $69.13 143 $9,885.59 $9,918.94 $-542.14
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $73.53 134 $9,853.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $81.38 134 $10,904.25 $10,970.17 +$1,051.23
(+10.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,970.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$970.17
Total Return: +9.70%
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