Compendium › Bruno Breakout › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

-22.68%
2 Years Return
$7,759.28
Current Value
22%
Win Rate
$10,035.93
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 14%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
48.4/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 71.7/100
× Confidence 0.14 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (14%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,677
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,035.93
Current Value
$7,759.28
Total P&L
$-2,276.65
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.70

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+5.54%
Worst Trade
-5.27%
Avg Trade Return
-2.76%
Avg Hold Time
28.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$159,804.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,276.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,276.65
Gross Return
-22.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,035.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:30am ET $342.76 29 $9,940.07 — — —
🔴 SELL May 24, 2024 10:40am ET $325.43 29 $9,437.47 $9,497.40 $-502.60
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET $348.28 27 $9,403.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET $359.99 27 $9,719.73 $9,813.57 +$316.17
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $406.34 24 $9,752.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 2:20pm ET $385.25 24 $9,246.00 $9,307.41 $-506.16
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
37.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET $392.47 23 $9,026.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET $371.78 23 $8,550.83 $8,831.42 $-475.99
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $347.20 25 $8,680.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $366.45 25 $9,161.13 $9,312.55 +$481.13
(+5.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $406.75 22 $8,948.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:30am ET $394.12 22 $8,670.64 $9,034.80 $-277.75
(-3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $365.12 24 $8,762.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:10pm ET $346.78 24 $8,322.72 $8,594.76 $-440.04
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $389.50 22 $8,569.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $369.78 22 $8,135.16 $8,160.92 $-433.84
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $330.82 24 $7,939.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $314.08 24 $7,538.04 $7,759.28 $-401.64
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,759.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,240.72
Total Return: -22.41%
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