MRNA Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
-47.20%
2 Years Return
$6,325.36
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$11,979.23
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
3.2/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 2.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
66,343
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$11,979.23
Current Value
$6,325.36
Total P&L
$-5,653.87
Max Drawdown
-64.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
9 /
31
Best Trade
+16.81%
Worst Trade
-25.42%
Avg Trade Return
-1.15%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$609,526.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,653.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,653.87
Gross Return
-47.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-47.20%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $11,979.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2024 9:30am ET | $147.09 | 81 | $11,914.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 24, 2024 9:40am ET | $169.73 | 81 | $13,748.13 | $13,813.18 |
+$1,833.95 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $122.46 | 112 | $13,715.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2024 12:30pm ET | $116.19 | 112 | $13,013.28 | $13,110.94 |
$-702.24 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $122.18 | 107 | $13,073.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 9:55am ET | $116.07 | 107 | $12,419.40 | $12,457.08 |
$-653.86 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $85.83 | 145 | $12,444.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2024 3:50pm ET | $81.04 | 145 | $11,750.08 | $11,762.53 |
$-694.55 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $54.01 | 217 | $11,721.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2024 12:45pm ET | $51.17 | 217 | $11,103.89 | $11,145.32 |
$-617.21 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $44.55 | 250 | $11,137.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2024 9:35am ET | $41.95 | 250 | $10,487.50 | $10,495.44 |
$-649.88 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 6, 2024 9:35am ET | $45.02 | 233 | $10,489.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 9:50am ET | $42.68 | 233 | $9,944.44 | $9,950.22 |
$-545.22 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 228 | $9,908.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 2:50pm ET | $41.22 | 228 | $9,398.16 | $9,439.50 |
$-510.72 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.60 | 216 | $9,416.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.52 | 216 | $7,023.24 | $7,046.22 |
$-2,393.28 (-25.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.53 | 192 | $7,013.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2025 3:25pm ET | $42.09 | 192 | $8,080.32 | $8,112.78 |
+$1,066.56 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $32.76 | 247 | $8,090.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $31.09 | 247 | $7,678.00 | $7,700.17 |
$-412.61 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 12:45pm ET | $34.83 | 221 | $7,697.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.90 | 221 | $7,270.90 | $7,273.64 |
$-426.53 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.28 | 225 | $7,261.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $37.31 | 225 | $8,394.75 | $8,406.52 |
+$1,132.88 (+15.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.76 | 228 | $8,381.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $34.82 | 228 | $7,938.96 | $7,964.13 |
$-442.39 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.67 | 298 | $7,947.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $25.27 | 298 | $7,530.46 | $7,546.93 |
$-417.20 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $26.30 | 287 | $7,546.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $24.96 | 287 | $7,163.52 | $7,163.78 |
$-383.15 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.00 | 265 | $7,155.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 1:00pm ET | $25.49 | 265 | $6,753.53 | $6,762.30 |
$-401.48 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.14 | 268 | $6,737.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.71 | 268 | $6,354.17 | $6,378.95 |
$-383.35 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.68 | 239 | $6,375.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $25.29 | 239 | $6,044.62 | $6,048.25 |
$-330.70 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.69 | 210 | $6,024.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.86 | 210 | $5,639.55 | $5,662.90 |
$-385.35 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.44 | 199 | $5,658.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $32.84 | 199 | $6,535.16 | $6,539.50 |
+$876.60 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.53 | 195 | $6,538.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $31.77 | 195 | $6,195.15 | $6,196.30 |
$-343.20 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.94 | 182 | $6,177.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 11:25am ET | $32.19 | 182 | $5,859.47 | $5,878.20 |
$-318.10 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.21 | 208 | $5,867.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $26.73 | 208 | $5,559.84 | $5,570.36 |
$-307.84 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.22 | 212 | $5,558.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $24.89 | 212 | $5,276.19 | $5,287.91 |
$-282.45 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.62 | 214 | $5,267.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 3:50pm ET | $28.32 | 214 | $6,060.48 | $6,080.78 |
+$792.87 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.72 | 219 | $6,069.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.29 | 219 | $5,757.51 | $5,768.70 |
$-312.08 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.02 | 213 | $5,754.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 2:55pm ET | $25.64 | 213 | $5,461.32 | $5,475.82 |
$-292.88 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET | $26.72 | 204 | $5,450.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $25.27 | 204 | $5,155.08 | $5,180.00 |
$-295.82 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.52 | 211 | $5,173.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $23.20 | 211 | $4,895.20 | $4,901.48 |
$-278.52 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $32.15 | 152 | $4,886.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $36.99 | 152 | $5,622.48 | $5,637.16 |
+$735.68 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.32 | 159 | $5,615.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $41.25 | 159 | $6,558.75 | $6,580.83 |
+$943.67 (+16.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.38 | 148 | $6,567.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.04 | 148 | $7,553.77 | $7,567.10 |
+$986.27 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.15 | 150 | $7,522.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $47.62 | 150 | $7,143.63 | $7,188.34 |
$-378.76 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.51 | 154 | $7,162.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET | $44.11 | 154 | $6,792.94 | $6,818.74 |
$-369.60 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $44.77 | 152 | $6,805.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $42.24 | 152 | $6,421.07 | $6,434.77 |
$-383.97 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.90 | 137 | $6,425.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $54.13 | 137 | $7,415.81 | $7,425.55 |
+$990.78 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.94 | 142 | $7,376.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $49.27 | 142 | $6,996.34 | $7,045.84 |
$-379.71 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.07 | 132 | $7,005.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $50.17 | 132 | $6,622.44 | $6,663.28 |
$-382.56 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.99 | 128 | $6,654.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $49.35 | 128 | $6,316.80 | $6,325.36 |
$-337.92 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,325.36
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,674.64
Total Return:
-36.75%