NIO Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
-9.16%
2 Years Return
$7,472.64
Current Value
27%
Win Rate
$8,226.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
3.8/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 3.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,446
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$8,226.26
Current Value
$7,472.64
Total P&L
$-753.62
Max Drawdown
-48.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
37
Winners / Losers
10 /
27
Best Trade
+29.34%
Worst Trade
-8.98%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,251.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-753.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-753.62
Gross Return
-9.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,226.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.93 | 1,387 | $8,222.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2024 11:20am ET | $5.62 | 1,387 | $7,795.36 | $7,799.48 |
$-426.78 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.31 | 1,468 | $7,795.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.98 | 1,468 | $7,315.92 | $7,320.32 |
$-479.16 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.29 | 1,706 | $7,318.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2024 10:45am ET | $4.97 | 1,706 | $8,470.29 | $8,471.70 |
+$1,151.38 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.65 | 1,823 | $8,467.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.38 | 1,823 | $7,984.74 | $7,988.61 |
$-483.09 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.55 | 1,755 | $7,987.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 9:45am ET | $4.31 | 1,755 | $7,564.05 | $7,565.65 |
$-422.96 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $3.84 | 1,970 | $7,564.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2024 9:35am ET | $4.49 | 1,970 | $8,851.21 | $8,852.06 |
+$1,286.41 (+17.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.60 | 1,580 | $8,848.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.32 | 1,580 | $8,397.70 | $8,401.76 |
$-450.30 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.79 | 1,452 | $8,399.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $7.48 | 1,452 | $10,864.30 | $10,866.24 |
+$2,464.48 (+29.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $7.35 | 1,478 | $10,864.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2024 9:50am ET | $6.96 | 1,478 | $10,279.49 | $10,281.54 |
$-584.70 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.36 | 1,919 | $10,276.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2024 2:05pm ET | $5.09 | 1,919 | $9,758.12 | $9,763.41 |
$-518.13 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.45 | 1,793 | $9,762.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 9:35am ET | $5.15 | 1,793 | $9,224.99 | $9,225.51 |
$-537.90 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.24 | 1,760 | $9,222.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.91 | 1,760 | $8,632.80 | $8,636.26 |
$-589.25 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $5.17 | 1,672 | $8,635.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.80 | 1,672 | $8,026.60 | $8,026.98 |
$-609.28 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.66 | 1,724 | $8,025.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.38 | 1,724 | $7,542.50 | $7,544.26 |
$-482.72 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $4.53 | 1,665 | $7,542.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:35am ET | $5.21 | 1,665 | $8,674.65 | $8,676.46 |
+$1,132.20 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.84 | 1,794 | $8,673.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $4.58 | 1,794 | $8,223.65 | $8,226.12 |
$-450.34 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.47 | 1,842 | $8,224.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 3:20pm ET | $4.22 | 1,842 | $7,771.21 | $7,772.80 |
$-453.32 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.85 | 1,604 | $7,771.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.41 | 1,604 | $7,073.64 | $7,075.06 |
$-697.74 (-9.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $3.68 | 1,925 | $7,074.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $3.46 | 1,925 | $6,660.50 | $6,661.18 |
$-413.88 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.22 | 1,578 | $6,658.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $3.97 | 1,578 | $6,262.14 | $6,265.26 |
$-395.92 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.25 | 1,474 | $6,261.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $4.04 | 1,474 | $5,947.59 | $5,950.86 |
$-314.40 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $3.71 | 1,606 | $5,950.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:15am ET | $3.51 | 1,606 | $5,629.03 | $5,629.66 |
$-321.20 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.16 | 1,353 | $5,627.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $4.84 | 1,353 | $6,548.52 | $6,550.51 |
+$920.85 (+16.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.66 | 1,407 | $6,549.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:10am ET | $4.42 | 1,407 | $6,211.91 | $6,212.83 |
$-337.68 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $5.18 | 1,199 | $6,210.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $6.02 | 1,199 | $7,211.99 | $7,214.00 |
+$1,001.17 (+16.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,083 | $7,207.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $6.32 | 1,083 | $6,844.56 | $6,851.19 |
$-362.81 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $5.86 | 1,170 | $6,850.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 11:35am ET | $6.75 | 1,170 | $7,892.24 | $7,893.08 |
+$1,041.89 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 10:10am ET | $7.66 | 1,031 | $7,892.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.27 | 1,031 | $7,495.27 | $7,496.04 |
$-397.04 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.42 | 1,010 | $7,495.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $7.01 | 1,010 | $7,080.20 | $7,080.83 |
$-415.21 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $7.17 | 988 | $7,079.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 11:50am ET | $6.79 | 988 | $6,703.58 | $6,705.39 |
$-375.44 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.93 | 966 | $6,699.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $6.43 | 966 | $6,211.38 | $6,217.66 |
$-487.73 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $4.97 | 1,251 | $6,217.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $5.72 | 1,251 | $7,155.47 | $7,155.66 |
+$938.00 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
26d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.80 | 1,489 | $7,152.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.53 | 1,489 | $6,745.17 | $6,748.12 |
$-407.54 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.76 | 1,416 | $6,747.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $4.95 | 1,416 | $7,016.28 | $7,017.16 |
+$269.04 (+4.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.18 | 1,354 | $7,014.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.14 | 1,354 | $8,315.18 | $8,317.68 |
+$1,300.52 (+18.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.63 | 1,478 | $8,313.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $5.34 | 1,478 | $7,895.62 | $7,899.55 |
$-418.13 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.29 | 1,256 | $7,898.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.95 | 1,256 | $7,471.19 | $7,472.64 |
$-426.91 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,472.64
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,527.36
Total Return:
-25.27%