Compendium › Bruno Breakout › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

-52.62%
2 Years Return
$4,885.55
Current Value
12%
Win Rate
$10,311.04
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 1.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
36,090
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
15 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-06-14 (16 candles), 2024-07-03 (30 candles), 2024-11-14 (18 candles), 2024-11-29 (no data), 2024-12-18 (37 candles), 2024-12-24 (30 candles), 2025-04-25 (14 candles), 2025-04-30 (37 candles), 2025-05-19 (34 candles), 2025-06-09 (38 candles), 2025-07-03 (24 candles), 2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (22 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-11 — Veterans Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day ... and 2 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,311.04
Current Value
$4,885.55
Total P&L
$-5,425.49
Max Drawdown
-59.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
2 / 15
Best Trade
+15.54%
Worst Trade
-14.10%
Avg Trade Return
-4.05%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,027.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,425.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,425.49
Gross Return
-52.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-52.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,311.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2024 9:55am ET $108.64 94 $10,212.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 10:20am ET $125.52 94 $11,798.88 $11,897.76 +$1,586.72
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:35am ET $97.32 122 $11,873.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $90.64 122 $11,058.08 $11,082.80 $-814.96
(-6.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET $92.82 119 $11,045.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 10:00am ET $88.12 119 $10,486.28 $10,523.50 $-559.30
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:35am ET $85.02 123 $10,456.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2025 11:05am ET $80.44 123 $9,894.12 $9,960.65 $-562.85
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET $97.40 102 $9,934.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 2:05pm ET $92.00 102 $9,384.00 $9,409.85 $-550.80
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $108.06 87 $9,401.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2025 3:15pm ET $102.60 87 $8,926.20 $8,934.83 $-475.02
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $148.40 60 $8,904.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $127.48 60 $7,648.80 $7,679.63 $-1,255.20
(-14.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $106.68 71 $7,574.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:50am ET $99.90 71 $7,092.90 $7,198.25 $-481.38
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:40am ET $91.98 78 $7,174.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:05am ET $87.38 78 $6,815.64 $6,839.45 $-358.80
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:20am ET $80.02 85 $6,801.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $75.24 85 $6,395.43 $6,433.18 $-406.27
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:15am ET $66.48 96 $6,382.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $62.12 96 $5,963.48 $6,014.54 $-418.64
(-6.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:40am ET $62.49 96 $5,999.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $59.17 96 $5,680.78 $5,695.82 $-318.72
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:45am ET $54.49 104 $5,666.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET $51.34 104 $5,339.11 $5,368.43 $-327.39
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:40am ET $52.21 102 $5,325.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:55am ET $49.56 102 $5,055.12 $5,098.33 $-270.10
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
36d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $49.82 102 $5,081.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $47.31 102 $4,825.62 $4,842.77 $-255.56
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $49.86 97 $4,836.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.40 97 $5,567.80 $5,574.15 +$731.38
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.29 97 $5,557.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 97 $4,868.53 $4,885.55 $-688.60
(-12.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,885.55
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,114.45
Total Return: -51.14%
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