TSLA Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 35 trades executed
+23.25%
2 Years Return
$12,659.42
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$10,271.45
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
20.5/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 15.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,271.45
Current Value
$12,659.42
Total P&L
$2,387.97
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
32
Winners / Losers
10 /
22
Best Trade
+21.35%
Worst Trade
-11.11%
Avg Trade Return
+1.15%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$813,573.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,387.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,387.97
Gross Return
+23.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,271.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $176.80 | 58 | $10,254.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2024 9:55am ET | $167.92 | 58 | $9,739.36 | $9,756.41 |
$-515.04 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
28d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $186.67 | 52 | $9,706.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2024 11:45am ET | $177.22 | 52 | $9,215.18 | $9,265.01 |
$-491.40 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $203.70 | 45 | $9,166.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $237.42 | 45 | $10,683.69 | $10,782.20 |
+$1,517.19 (+16.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $257.10 | 41 | $10,541.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 19, 2024 10:00am ET | $243.11 | 41 | $9,967.71 | $10,208.81 |
$-573.39 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $227.81 | 44 | $10,023.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2024 2:40pm ET | $216.37 | 44 | $9,520.28 | $9,705.45 |
$-503.36 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $208.69 | 46 | $9,599.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2024 11:00am ET | $240.32 | 46 | $11,054.78 | $11,160.72 |
+$1,455.27 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $245.78 | 45 | $11,059.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2024 9:50am ET | $232.59 | 45 | $10,466.55 | $10,567.39 |
$-593.33 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $247.15 | 42 | $10,380.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $287.91 | 42 | $12,092.20 | $12,279.37 |
+$1,711.98 (+16.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $348.74 | 35 | $12,205.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2024 12:20pm ET | $331.10 | 35 | $11,588.50 | $11,661.97 |
$-617.40 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET | $339.62 | 34 | $11,547.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $398.94 | 34 | $13,563.96 | $13,678.86 |
+$2,016.89 (+17.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $397.82 | 34 | $13,525.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2024 11:25am ET | $458.39 | 34 | $15,585.26 | $15,738.24 |
+$2,059.38 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $442.94 | 35 | $15,502.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2024 9:50am ET | $420.36 | 35 | $14,712.60 | $14,947.94 |
$-790.30 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $421.95 | 35 | $14,768.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $398.36 | 35 | $13,942.60 | $14,122.28 |
$-825.66 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $415.16 | 34 | $14,115.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 1:25pm ET | $393.95 | 34 | $13,394.42 | $13,401.26 |
$-721.02 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $403.74 | 33 | $13,323.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $381.80 | 33 | $12,599.40 | $12,677.40 |
$-723.86 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $300.07 | 42 | $12,602.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 2:50pm ET | $284.93 | 42 | $11,967.06 | $12,041.52 |
$-635.88 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.82 | 48 | $11,847.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 11:35am ET | $234.10 | 48 | $11,236.80 | $11,430.96 |
$-610.56 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.89 | 49 | $11,411.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $269.34 | 49 | $13,197.66 | $13,217.01 |
+$1,786.05 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $247.47 | 53 | $13,115.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $233.19 | 53 | $12,359.08 | $12,460.18 |
$-756.83 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $241.90 | 51 | $12,336.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $229.59 | 51 | $11,709.09 | $11,832.37 |
$-627.81 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $248.33 | 47 | $11,671.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 25, 2025 12:35pm ET | $285.75 | 47 | $13,430.02 | $13,591.11 |
+$1,758.74 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $284.57 | 47 | $13,374.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 1:15pm ET | $327.51 | 47 | $15,392.97 | $15,609.23 |
+$2,018.12 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.56 | 44 | $15,512.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:05pm ET | $333.68 | 44 | $14,682.13 | $14,778.51 |
$-830.72 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.26 | 41 | $14,442.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $333.63 | 41 | $13,678.83 | $14,014.68 |
$-763.83 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $332.56 | 42 | $13,967.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $295.61 | 42 | $12,415.50 | $12,462.87 |
$-1,551.81 (-11.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $304.34 | 40 | $12,173.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $337.50 | 40 | $13,499.89 | $13,789.16 |
+$1,326.29 (+10.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $349.41 | 39 | $13,626.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 39 | $16,536.00 | $16,698.17 |
+$2,909.01 (+21.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $445.47 | 37 | $16,482.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $417.24 | 37 | $15,437.88 | $15,653.66 |
$-1,044.51 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $419.17 | 37 | $15,509.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $397.21 | 37 | $14,696.77 | $14,841.14 |
$-812.52 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $474.97 | 31 | $14,724.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET | $450.69 | 31 | $13,971.24 | $14,088.30 |
$-752.84 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.77 | 31 | $13,973.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $426.23 | 31 | $13,213.13 | $13,327.58 |
$-760.72 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.84 | 36 | $13,098.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $345.28 | 36 | $12,430.08 | $12,659.42 |
$-668.16 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,659.42
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,659.42
Total Return:
+26.59%