Compendium › Bruno Breakout › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+47.70%
2 Years Return
$15,528.90
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,513.63
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 30.0/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
67,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,513.63
Current Value
$15,528.90
Total P&L
$5,015.27
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+20.69%
Worst Trade
-6.54%
Avg Trade Return
+3.04%
Avg Hold Time
14.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$324,246.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,015.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,015.27
Gross Return
+47.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,513.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET $76.41 137 $10,468.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 1:55pm ET $72.45 137 $9,925.65 $9,971.11 $-542.52
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2024 9:30am ET $78.12 127 $9,921.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2024 2:45pm ET $74.21 127 $9,424.67 $9,474.54 $-496.57
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET $74.00 128 $9,471.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2024 9:30am ET $69.94 128 $8,952.32 $8,955.50 $-519.04
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
26d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET $73.83 121 $8,933.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $69.97 121 $8,466.37 $8,488.44 $-467.06
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $81.72 103 $8,417.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 11:50am ET $77.57 103 $7,989.71 $8,060.99 $-427.45
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $65.17 123 $8,015.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 11:10am ET $61.83 123 $7,604.48 $7,649.55 $-411.44
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $69.16 110 $7,607.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $79.99 110 $8,798.90 $8,840.85 +$1,191.30
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
32d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $76.69 115 $8,818.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $72.76 115 $8,367.40 $8,389.47 $-451.38
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $73.10 114 $8,333.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $69.08 114 $7,875.12 $7,931.19 $-458.28
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
29d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $69.62 113 $7,867.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $80.24 113 $9,067.12 $9,131.14 +$1,199.95
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
38d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $77.90 117 $9,114.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $94.02 117 $11,000.34 $11,017.18 +$1,886.04
(+20.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $94.40 116 $10,950.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $108.82 116 $12,623.13 $12,689.91 +$1,672.73
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $115.68 109 $12,608.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $108.11 109 $11,783.98 $11,865.01 $-824.90
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 101 $11,787.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 101 $14,028.90 $14,106.20 +$2,241.19
(+19.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 105 $13,992.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $126.26 105 $13,257.30 $13,371.07 $-735.13
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 111 $13,307.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 111 $15,465.62 $15,528.90 +$2,157.83
(+16.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,528.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,528.90
Total Return: +55.29%
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