Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

69
Lifetime
Confidence: 10%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
68.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
93.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
88.2/10
Raw Quality 717.3/100
× Confidence 0.10 = 68.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (10%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,977.74
Current Value
$13,063.87
Total P&L
$3,086.13
Max Drawdown
-0.2%
Sharpe Ratio
3.51

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+8.89%
Worst Trade
+3.84%
Avg Trade Return
+7.02%
Avg Hold Time
45.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,219.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,086.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,086.13
Gross Return
+30.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,977.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 16, 2024 9:30am ET $63.43 157 $9,958.53
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET $67.74 157 $10,635.18 $10,654.39 +$676.65
(+6.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $73.54 144 $10,589.76
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2024 9:30am ET $80.08 144 $11,531.52 $11,596.15 +$941.76
(+8.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $86.95 133 $11,564.35
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 9:30am ET $90.29 133 $12,008.57 $12,040.37 +$444.22
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $103.95 115 $11,954.25
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $112.85 115 $12,977.75 $13,063.87 +$1,023.50
(+8.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,063.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,063.87
Total Return: +30.64%
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