Compendium › Bruno Breakout › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+5.53%
2 Years Return
$10,553.24
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 16%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
53.4/35
Total Return
74.1/25
Win Rate
23.3/15
Profit Factor
13.0/15
Consistency
12.5/10
Raw Quality 176.3/100
× Confidence 0.16 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (16%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,931
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,553.24
Total P&L
$553.24
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+14.42%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
+1.01%
Avg Hold Time
26.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$137,371.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$553.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$553.24
Gross Return
+5.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $121.56 82 $9,967.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 10:15am ET $115.40 82 $9,462.46 $9,494.95 $-505.05
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
28d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $109.44 86 $9,411.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:30am ET $111.03 86 $9,548.58 $9,631.69 +$136.74
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $110.35 87 $9,600.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 9:30am ET $104.65 87 $9,104.46 $9,136.14 $-495.55
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $112.47 81 $9,109.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $111.70 81 $9,047.30 $9,073.46 $-62.68
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET $118.51 76 $9,006.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $135.59 76 $10,304.84 $10,371.92 +$1,298.46
(+14.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $141.36 73 $10,318.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.58 73 $11,065.34 $11,118.35 +$746.43
(+7.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
12.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $159.34 69 $10,994.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $151.15 69 $10,429.35 $10,553.24 $-565.11
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,553.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$553.24
Total Return: +5.53%
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