Compendium › Crash Catcher › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+105.68%
2 Years Return
$28,996.24
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$14,097.67
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,640
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$14,097.67
Current Value
$28,996.24
Total P&L
$14,898.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
6.76

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+21.63%
Worst Trade
+15.01%
Avg Trade Return
+16.74%
Avg Hold Time
115.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$206,060.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,898.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,898.58
Gross Return
+105.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+105.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $14,097.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2024 9:30am ET $84.67 158 $13,377.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2024 9:30am ET $102.98 158 $16,271.30 $16,314.70 +$2,893.60
(+21.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
79d held
2 🟢 BUY May 30, 2024 3:40pm ET $110.95 147 $16,309.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2024 9:30am ET $128.60 147 $18,904.20 $18,909.25 +$2,594.55
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 12:25pm ET $134.15 140 $18,780.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 3:05pm ET $154.28 140 $21,598.50 $21,727.45 +$2,818.20
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
370.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET $153.79 141 $21,684.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $178.31 141 $25,141.13 $25,184.19 +$3,456.74
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
28d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $173.04 145 $25,090.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 2:20pm ET $199.33 145 $28,902.85 $28,996.24 +$3,812.05
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
88.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $28,996.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$18,996.24
Total Return: +189.96%
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