Compendium › Crash Catcher › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 4 trades executed

+66.51%
2 Years Return
$17,490.50
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,504.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:26:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score

Score Not Yet Available
This strategy+symbol combination hasn't been scored yet. Scoring requires at least 10 trades and runs daily. Check back soon.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,849
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,504.00
Current Value
$17,490.50
Total P&L
$6,986.50
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
87.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+15.45%
Worst Trade
+15.03%
Avg Trade Return
+15.15%
Avg Hold Time
139.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,492.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,986.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,986.50
Gross Return
+66.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+66.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $10,504.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2024 2:55pm ET $220.83 45 $9,937.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET $254.95 45 $11,472.75 $11,535.40 +$1,535.40
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
117.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $240.98 47 $11,326.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2024 11:15am ET $277.20 47 $13,028.17 $13,237.51 +$1,702.11
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
73.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $272.11 48 $13,061.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 2:50pm ET $313.14 48 $15,030.72 $15,207.19 +$1,969.68
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
89.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 24, 2025 9:45am ET $316.18 48 $15,176.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:30am ET $363.75 48 $17,460.00 $17,490.50 +$2,283.31
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
279d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,490.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,490.50
Total Return: +74.91%
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