Compendium › Crash Catcher › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+127.52%
2 Years Return
$27,180.13
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$11,946.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,048
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,946.12
Current Value
$27,180.13
Total P&L
$15,234.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
24.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
6 / 0
Best Trade
+16.85%
Worst Trade
+15.01%
Avg Trade Return
+15.46%
Avg Hold Time
105.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$219,839.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,234.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,234.01
Gross Return
+127.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+127.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $11,946.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2024 11:20am ET $59.33 193 $11,450.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $69.33 193 $13,380.69 $13,428.36 +$1,930.00
(+16.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
208d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET $69.36 193 $13,386.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $79.78 193 $15,397.54 $15,439.42 +$2,011.06
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET $78.75 196 $15,434.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 2:10pm ET $90.76 196 $17,788.96 $17,794.36 +$2,354.94
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
162.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $90.62 196 $17,761.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET $104.61 196 $20,503.56 $20,536.38 +$2,742.02
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
53d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:50am ET $99.95 205 $20,489.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:25am ET $114.95 205 $23,564.75 $23,611.38 +$3,075.00
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
80.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.20 201 $23,556.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $134.95 201 $27,124.95 $27,180.13 +$3,568.75
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
99d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,180.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,180.13
Total Return: +171.80%
Back to Crash Catcher