Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,981
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,947.13
Current Value
$26,300.17
Total P&L
$14,353.04
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
11.28

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+19.04%
Worst Trade
+15.08%
Avg Trade Return
+17.17%
Avg Hold Time
138.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,905.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,353.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,353.04
Gross Return
+120.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+120.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $11,947.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2024 11:10am ET $167.69 71 $11,905.99
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 9:55am ET $192.98 71 $13,701.58 $13,768.99 +$1,795.59
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
226d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET $190.52 72 $13,717.44
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $226.80 72 $16,329.60 $16,381.15 +$2,612.16
(+19.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
258.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET $241.07 67 $16,151.69
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $285.30 67 $19,115.10 $19,344.56 +$2,963.41
(+18.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
35d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET $279.22 69 $19,266.18
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $323.12 69 $22,295.49 $22,373.87 +$3,029.31
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET $317.83 70 $22,248.10
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 70 $26,174.40 $26,300.17 +$3,926.30
(+17.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
152.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $26,300.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$16,300.17
Total Return: +163.00%
Back to Crash Catcher