Compendium › Crash Catcher › JPM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JPM
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+76.74%
2 Years Return
$20,639.71
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$11,677.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:56:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,349
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,677.98
Current Value
$20,639.71
Total P&L
$8,961.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
13.29

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+17.87%
Worst Trade
+15.08%
Avg Trade Return
+15.81%
Avg Hold Time
123.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$124,897.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,961.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,961.74
Gross Return
+76.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+76.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $11,677.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2024 9:30am ET $188.24 61 $11,482.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2024 11:40am ET $216.85 61 $13,227.84 $13,273.73 +$1,745.43
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
96.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $202.06 65 $13,133.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $238.17 65 $15,480.73 $15,620.55 +$2,346.83
(+17.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
96d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 10:30am ET $239.12 65 $15,542.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 3:20pm ET $275.21 65 $17,888.50 $17,966.26 +$2,345.71
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
91.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 10:15am ET $272.83 65 $17,733.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 12:20pm ET $313.96 65 $20,407.40 $20,639.71 +$2,673.45
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
211d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,639.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,639.71
Total Return: +106.40%
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