Compendium › Crash Catcher › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 16 trades executed

+961.01%
2 Years Return
$127,247.91
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$11,993.11
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,064
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,993.11
Current Value
$127,247.91
Total P&L
$115,254.81
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
4.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
15 / 0
Best Trade
+30.24%
Worst Trade
+15.01%
Avg Trade Return
+16.94%
Avg Hold Time
39.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,426,157.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$115,254.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$115,254.81
Gross Return
+961.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+961.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $11,993.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2024 10:40am ET $24.28 506 $12,285.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2024 3:15pm ET $27.93 506 $14,134.05 $14,134.96 +$1,848.42
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
150.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2024 11:20am ET $27.52 513 $14,117.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 16, 2024 9:35am ET $31.82 513 $16,323.66 $16,340.86 +$2,205.90
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2024 11:40am ET $32.06 509 $16,316.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2024 2:10pm ET $36.87 509 $18,764.79 $18,789.66 +$2,448.80
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
25.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2024 10:10am ET $35.80 524 $18,759.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2024 2:40pm ET $41.20 524 $21,590.53 $21,620.98 +$2,831.33
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 10:20am ET $42.53 508 $21,605.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2024 9:40am ET $49.26 508 $25,024.08 $25,039.82 +$3,418.84
(+15.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 11:30am ET $54.43 460 $25,039.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 9:30am ET $62.87 460 $28,920.43 $28,920.80 +$3,880.97
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 10:50am ET $58.91 490 $28,865.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 9:40am ET $67.78 490 $33,212.20 $33,267.10 +$4,346.30
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:55am ET $69.13 481 $33,253.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2024 9:35am ET $79.79 481 $38,378.99 $38,392.30 +$5,125.20
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 1:55pm ET $71.85 534 $38,367.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 9:30am ET $83.23 534 $44,444.34 $44,468.74 +$6,076.44
(+15.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 27, 2024 9:30am ET $79.52 559 $44,452.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET $103.57 559 $57,895.63 $57,912.13 +$13,443.39
(+30.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
39d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 11:10am ET $100.42 576 $57,844.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:35pm ET $115.82 576 $66,709.44 $66,777.11 +$8,864.99
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2025 11:25am ET $113.62 587 $66,695.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $132.43 587 $77,736.06 $77,817.76 +$11,040.65
(+16.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
91.9d held
13 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:30am ET $125.96 617 $77,714.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $145.44 617 $89,737.10 $89,840.62 +$12,022.86
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
41d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 9:30am ET $140.75 638 $89,795.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $173.22 638 $110,514.36 $110,559.67 +$20,719.05
(+23.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
39d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 2:20pm ET $178.49 619 $110,485.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 12:50pm ET $205.45 619 $127,173.55 $127,247.91 +$16,688.24
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
88d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $127,247.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$117,247.91
Total Return: +1172.48%
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