Compendium › Crash Catcher › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

+230.20%
2 Years Return
$36,014.77
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,907.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,293
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,907.12
Current Value
$36,014.77
Total P&L
$25,107.65
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
30.14

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
8 / 0
Best Trade
+16.66%
Worst Trade
+15.00%
Avg Trade Return
+15.36%
Avg Hold Time
75.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$342,281.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$25,107.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$25,107.65
Gross Return
+230.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+230.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $10,907.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 12, 2024 12:15pm ET $26.15 439 $11,479.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 18, 2024 1:05pm ET $30.15 439 $13,235.85 $13,257.96 +$1,756.00
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
189d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:35am ET $30.83 430 $13,256.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $35.46 430 $15,247.80 $15,248.82 +$1,990.86
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
271.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $33.28 458 $15,239.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:35am ET $38.30 458 $17,541.40 $17,550.27 +$2,301.45
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
43d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 10:50am ET $41.75 420 $17,535.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $48.01 420 $20,165.54 $20,180.81 +$2,630.54
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET $47.20 427 $20,154.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET $54.39 427 $23,226.45 $23,252.87 +$3,072.05
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
53.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $56.07 414 $23,210.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 2:00pm ET $64.71 414 $26,789.90 $26,831.85 +$3,578.99
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $65.99 406 $26,789.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $76.98 406 $31,252.66 $31,294.61 +$4,462.75
(+16.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $78.44 398 $31,217.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET $90.30 398 $35,937.65 $36,014.77 +$4,720.16
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $36,014.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$26,014.77
Total Return: +260.15%
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