Compendium › Crash Catcher › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash Catcher's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+96.53%
2 Years Return
$20,139.59
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,247.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

72
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 72.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
64,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,247.51
Current Value
$20,139.59
Total P&L
$9,892.09
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
766.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+15.10%
Worst Trade
+15.05%
Avg Trade Return
+15.08%
Avg Hold Time
107.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,634.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$9,892.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$9,892.09
Gross Return
+96.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+96.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash Catcher had $10,247.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2024 11:50am ET $58.41 171 $9,988.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2024 10:45am ET $67.23 171 $11,496.33 $11,507.78 +$1,507.78
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
106.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2024 9:45am ET $66.94 171 $11,446.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2024 2:30pm ET $77.03 171 $13,171.28 $13,232.31 +$1,724.54
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
66.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 9:35am ET $90.47 146 $13,208.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2025 12:30pm ET $104.09 146 $15,196.41 $15,220.10 +$1,987.79
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
52.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET $97.77 155 $15,154.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $112.51 155 $17,438.28 $17,504.15 +$2,284.05
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
285.3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $110.44 158 $17,449.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:45am ET $127.12 158 $20,084.96 $20,139.59 +$2,635.44
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
26.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,139.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,139.59
Total Return: +101.40%
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