Compendium › Crash & Dip › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 3 trades in period

+118.72%
Last Year Return
$32,052.27
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$14,654.58
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 08:47:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
35,997
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,654.58
Current Value
$32,052.27
Period P&L
$17,397.70
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.49

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+41.51%
Worst Trade
+7.89%
Avg Trade Return
+21.48%
Avg Hold Time
87.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$137,246.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$17,397.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$17,397.70
Gross Return
+118.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+118.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $14,654.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 10:55am ET $185.44 98 $18,173.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $213.32 98 $20,905.36 $21,024.58 +$2,732.24
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
198d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:35am ET $230.68 91 $20,991.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $248.88 91 $22,648.08 $22,680.78 +$1,656.20
(+7.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
42.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $230.39 98 $22,578.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $326.02 98 $31,949.96 $32,052.27 +$9,371.50
(+41.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $32,052.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$22,052.27
Total Return: +220.52%
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