Compendium › Crash & Dip › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Crash & Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 11 trades executed

+78.36%
2 Years Return
$25,785.91
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,457.27
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:32:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.6/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
88.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
88.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,510
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$14,457.27
Current Value
$25,785.91
Total P&L
$11,328.64
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+21.63%
Worst Trade
-8.15%
Avg Trade Return
+8.20%
Avg Hold Time
65d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$358,757.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,328.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,328.64
Gross Return
+78.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+78.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crash & Dip had $14,457.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2024 9:30am ET $84.67 158 $13,377.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2024 9:30am ET $102.98 158 $16,271.30 $16,314.70 +$2,893.60
(+21.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
79d held
2 🟢 BUY May 30, 2024 3:40pm ET $110.95 147 $16,309.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2024 9:30am ET $128.60 147 $18,904.20 $18,909.25 +$2,594.55
(+15.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 12:20pm ET $135.08 139 $18,776.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2024 9:30am ET $124.08 139 $17,246.43 $17,379.55 $-1,529.70
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2024 11:00am ET $123.48 140 $17,287.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2024 3:50pm ET $113.58 140 $15,901.20 $15,993.55 $-1,386.00
(-8.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
28.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 3:55pm ET $112.34 142 $15,952.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2024 2:25pm ET $129.22 142 $18,349.31 $18,390.59 +$2,397.03
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2024 11:30am ET $127.19 144 $18,315.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:05pm ET $146.28 144 $21,064.32 $21,139.55 +$2,748.96
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
76.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 10:05am ET $143.33 147 $21,069.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET $164.97 147 $24,250.59 $24,320.71 +$3,181.17
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
237.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:40am ET $168.13 144 $24,210.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:45am ET $194.03 144 $27,940.32 $28,050.31 +$3,729.60
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
79d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $188.50 148 $27,898.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $173.20 148 $25,633.60 $25,785.91 $-2,264.40
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,785.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,785.91
Total Return: +157.86%
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