Compendium › Crasher Macro › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher Macro's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 09:50:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+41.99%
2 Years Return
$19,867.38
Current Value
83%
Win Rate
$13,991.80
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
87.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
75.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,350
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$13,991.80
Current Value
$19,867.38
Total P&L
$5,875.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.73

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+13.77%
Worst Trade
-12.30%
Avg Trade Return
+6.43%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$198,401.48
Estimated Fees
$496.00
Gross P&L
$5,875.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,379.58
Gross Return
+41.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.45%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher Macro had $13,991.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET $0.1152 121,457 $13,991.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 9:40pm ET $0.1235 121,457 $14,997.46 $14,924.99 +$933.19
(+6.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.0948 157,486 $14,924.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 10:55pm ET $0.1055 157,486 $16,606.95 $16,528.12 +$1,603.13
(+10.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 9:05pm ET $0.0933 177,112 $16,528.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:05pm ET $0.1000 177,112 $17,718.31 $17,632.70 +$1,104.58
(+6.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $0.3574 49,342 $17,632.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:40pm ET $0.3152 49,342 $15,551.97 $15,469.00 $-2,163.70
(-12.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:05pm ET $0.1449 106,764 $15,469.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 9:05pm ET $0.1644 106,764 $17,550.89 $17,468.34 +$1,999.34
(+13.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET $0.1306 133,795 $17,468.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 2:50am ET $0.1492 133,795 $19,960.95 $19,867.38 +$2,399.04
(+13.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,867.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,867.38
Total Return: +98.67%
Back to Crasher Macro