Compendium › Crasher Macro › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Crasher Macro's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 09:50:00+00 • 22 trades executed

+29.96%
2 Years Return
$15,489.36
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$11,918.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
73.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
57.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,339
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,918.98
Current Value
$15,489.36
Total P&L
$3,570.38
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+23.58%
Worst Trade
-7.75%
Avg Trade Return
+2.14%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$404,225.98
Estimated Fees
$1,010.56
Gross P&L
$3,570.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,559.82
Gross Return
+29.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.48%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher Macro had $11,918.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:40pm ET $0.4786 24,904 $11,918.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 9:40pm ET $0.4927 24,904 $12,270.12 $12,209.65 +$290.67
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 8:00pm ET $0.4243 28,776 $12,209.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 8:00pm ET $0.4237 28,776 $12,192.38 $12,131.38 $-78.27
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 11:25am ET $0.5500 22,057 $12,131.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2024 11:25am ET $0.5611 22,057 $12,376.21 $12,314.94 +$183.56
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2024 8:40pm ET $0.5022 24,521 $12,314.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 8:40pm ET $0.5118 24,521 $12,549.85 $12,487.69 +$172.75
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2024 10:35am ET $0.4925 25,356 $12,487.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 10:35am ET $0.6111 25,356 $15,494.88 $15,424.92 +$2,937.23
(+23.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 9:00pm ET $0.5343 28,870 $15,424.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2024 9:00pm ET $0.5577 28,870 $16,100.77 $16,021.95 +$597.03
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET $2.40 6,672 $16,021.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 2:55pm ET $2.23 6,672 $14,859.70 $14,782.50 $-1,239.45
(-7.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:25am ET $2.09 7,078 $14,782.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:25am ET $2.08 7,078 $14,744.99 $14,671.17 $-111.33
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.10 7,002 $14,671.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.05 7,002 $14,359.57 $14,286.99 $-384.18
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2025 7:25pm ET $1.87 7,659 $14,286.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 7:25pm ET $1.91 7,659 $14,631.66 $14,559.36 +$272.37
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $1.81 8,049 $14,559.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $1.99 8,049 $15,998.55 $15,922.16 +$1,362.80
(+9.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:35am ET $1.93 8,268 $15,922.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 11:35am ET $2.01 8,268 $16,623.31 $16,541.94 +$619.78
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 8:10am ET $2.34 7,077 $16,541.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 24, 2025 8:10am ET $2.35 7,077 $16,631.81 $16,548.88 +$6.94
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET $2.03 8,170 $16,548.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $1.91 8,170 $15,569.65 $15,489.36 $-1,059.52
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,489.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,489.36
Total Return: +54.89%
Back to Crasher Macro