Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:09:43

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.9/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 76.4/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 60.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,272
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$40,680.98
Current Value
$42,493.50
Period P&L
$1,600.14
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+10.87%
Worst Trade
-6.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$1,564,881.75
Estimated Fees
$3,912.20
Gross P&L
$1,600.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,312.06
Gross Return
+3.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.68%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher had $40,680.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 2:45pm ET $2.44 16,703 $40,680.98
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 2:45pm ET $2.56 16,703 $42,810.66 $42,601.93 +$1,920.95
(+4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 8:10am ET $2.34 18,225 $42,601.93
🔴 SELL May 24, 2025 8:10am ET $2.35 18,225 $42,833.39 $42,619.80 +$17.87
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 12:15pm ET $2.73 15,621 $42,619.80
🔴 SELL Jul 12, 2025 12:15pm ET $2.72 15,621 $42,452.66 $42,239.98 $-379.82
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:45am ET $3.24 13,049 $42,239.98
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 9:45am ET $3.16 13,049 $41,250.86 $41,042.13 $-1,197.85
(-2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 8:30am ET $3.07 13,374 $41,042.13
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 8:30am ET $3.12 13,374 $41,758.73 $41,551.73 +$509.60
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 2:00am ET $2.75 15,119 $41,551.73
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 2:00am ET $2.86 15,119 $43,266.23 $43,054.19 +$1,502.46
(+3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 4:55pm ET $2.49 17,278 $43,054.19
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2025 4:55pm ET $2.36 17,278 $40,713.07 $40,503.65 $-2,550.54
(-5.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:55am ET $2.33 17,400 $40,503.65
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:55am ET $2.28 17,400 $39,710.21 $39,509.68 $-993.97
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:20pm ET $2.12 18,647 $39,509.68
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:20pm ET $2.36 18,647 $44,002.72 $43,793.94 +$4,284.26
(+10.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:25am ET $2.03 21,622 $43,793.94
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 11:25am ET $1.91 21,622 $41,202.58 $40,990.08 $-2,803.86
(-6.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:45pm ET $2.08 19,724 $40,990.08
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 7:45pm ET $2.02 19,724 $39,882.18 $39,680.00 $-1,310.08
(-3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET $1.90 20,856 $39,680.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:10am ET $1.91 20,856 $39,848.93 $39,650.11 $-29.89
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET $2.28 17,357 $39,650.11
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $2.21 17,357 $38,398.68 $38,203.56 $-1,446.55
(-3.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.94 19,688 $38,203.56
🔴 SELL Jan 19, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.99 19,688 $39,129.27 $38,935.94 +$732.38
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $1.88 20,736 $38,935.94
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:55am ET $1.92 20,736 $39,840.03 $39,643.09 +$707.15
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.56 25,427 $39,643.09
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.60 25,427 $40,594.06 $40,393.46 +$750.37
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.53 26,382 $40,393.46
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.60 26,382 $42,337.81 $42,130.98 +$1,737.52
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET $1.34 31,425 $42,130.98
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 6:20am ET $1.36 31,425 $42,671.48 $42,459.48 +$328.50
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.54 27,658 $42,459.48
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:50pm ET $1.54 27,658 $42,493.50 $42,493.50 $-178.36
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $42,493.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$32,493.50
Total Return: +324.94%
Back to Crasher