BTCUSD Crasher Oracle's Analysis
to 2026-02-14 22:50:00+00 • 43 trades executed
+37.12%
2 Years Return
$13,922.19
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,153.33
Period Start
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,804
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-02-14 → 2026-02-14
Trading Days
732 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,153.33
Current Value
$13,922.19
Total P&L
$3,768.86
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
24 /
16
Best Trade
+7.72%
Worst Trade
-6.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$879,928.25
Estimated Fees
$2,199.82
Gross P&L
$3,768.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,569.04
Gross Return
+37.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.45%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 732 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher Oracle had $10,153.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2024 1:05pm ET | $60,517.00 | 0 | $10,153.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2024 1:05pm ET | $61,977.05 | 0 | $10,398.29 | $10,346.91 |
+$193.58 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2024 11:00am ET | $66,510.02 | 0 | $10,346.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2024 11:00am ET | $67,428.09 | 0 | $10,489.73 | $10,437.64 |
+$90.73 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 8, 2024 11:10am ET | $66,472.20 | 0 | $10,437.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2024 12:10pm ET | $69,545.12 | 0 | $10,920.16 | $10,866.76 |
+$429.12 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 14, 2024 10:40pm ET | $69,635.79 | 0 | $10,866.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2024 10:40pm ET | $66,265.78 | 0 | $10,340.87 | $10,287.85 |
$-578.91 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2024 10:35pm ET | $66,551.41 | 0 | $10,287.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2024 10:35pm ET | $65,696.65 | 0 | $10,155.72 | $10,104.61 |
$-183.24 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 12, 2024 2:35pm ET | $66,033.75 | 0 | $10,104.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2024 2:35pm ET | $64,588.83 | 0 | $9,883.51 | $9,833.54 |
$-271.07 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 18, 2024 9:35pm ET | $61,159.50 | 0 | $9,833.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2024 9:35pm ET | $65,033.72 | 0 | $10,456.46 | $10,405.73 |
+$572.19 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2024 3:20am ET | $58,135.19 | 0 | $10,405.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 3, 2024 3:20am ET | $59,406.88 | 0 | $10,633.35 | $10,580.75 |
+$175.02 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2024 10:50am ET | $61,033.75 | 0 | $10,580.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2024 10:50am ET | $61,141.67 | 0 | $10,599.46 | $10,546.51 |
$-34.24 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2024 9:55pm ET | $58,540.29 | 0 | $10,546.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 9:55pm ET | $56,223.37 | 0 | $10,129.10 | $10,077.41 |
$-469.10 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2024 10:30am ET | $55,333.74 | 0 | $10,077.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2024 10:30am ET | $57,762.36 | 0 | $10,519.71 | $10,468.22 |
+$390.81 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 10:55am ET | $63,096.76 | 0 | $10,468.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2024 10:55am ET | $59,539.23 | 0 | $9,878.00 | $9,827.13 |
$-641.09 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2024 8:55pm ET | $56,142.48 | 0 | $9,827.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 8:55pm ET | $56,296.37 | 0 | $9,854.07 | $9,804.86 |
$-22.27 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2024 6:05pm ET | $59,526.13 | 0 | $9,804.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2024 6:05pm ET | $58,900.31 | 0 | $9,701.78 | $9,653.01 |
$-151.85 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 9:00pm ET | $55,648.66 | 0 | $9,653.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2024 9:00pm ET | $56,023.69 | 0 | $9,718.06 | $9,669.64 |
+$16.63 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 6, 2024 10:10am ET | $55,079.26 | 0 | $9,669.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2024 10:10am ET | $54,126.54 | 0 | $9,502.38 | $9,454.45 |
$-215.19 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 10:55am ET | $65,364.45 | 0 | $9,454.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2024 10:55am ET | $67,090.61 | 0 | $9,704.13 | $9,656.23 |
+$201.78 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 7:15pm ET | $86,688.00 | 0 | $9,656.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 7:15pm ET | $90,167.00 | 0 | $10,043.76 | $9,994.51 |
+$338.28 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2024 10:30am ET | $88,788.00 | 0 | $9,994.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2024 10:30am ET | $90,463.30 | 0 | $10,183.09 | $10,132.65 |
+$138.14 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2024 5:25pm ET | $93,768.00 | 0 | $10,132.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 7, 2024 5:25pm ET | $99,999.90 | 0 | $10,806.07 | $10,753.73 |
+$621.08 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET | $100,151.98 | 0 | $10,753.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 20, 2024 3:40pm ET | $96,642.51 | 0 | $10,376.90 | $10,324.08 |
$-429.65 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $97,519.68 | 0 | $10,324.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $93,883.33 | 0 | $9,939.11 | $9,888.45 |
$-435.63 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 19, 2025 6:15pm ET | $100,441.90 | 0 | $9,888.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 6:15pm ET | $106,044.55 | 0 | $10,440.03 | $10,389.21 |
+$500.76 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET | $93,343.30 | 0 | $10,389.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 8:45pm ET | $98,197.59 | 0 | $10,929.50 | $10,876.20 |
+$486.99 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:25am ET | $86,452.73 | 0 | $10,876.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 10:25am ET | $85,589.39 | 0 | $10,767.59 | $10,713.48 |
$-162.72 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 8:30pm ET | $81,436.20 | 0 | $10,713.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2025 8:30pm ET | $86,100.69 | 0 | $11,327.13 | $11,272.02 |
+$558.54 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:50am ET | $90,147.72 | 0 | $11,272.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $88,857.94 | 0 | $11,110.75 | $11,054.79 |
$-217.23 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 7:20pm ET | $87,350.02 | 0 | $11,054.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 8, 2025 7:20pm ET | $86,317.04 | 0 | $10,924.06 | $10,869.11 |
$-185.68 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $80,113.79 | 0 | $10,869.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $82,448.32 | 0 | $11,185.84 | $11,130.70 |
+$261.59 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 5:10pm ET | $84,521.10 | 0 | $11,130.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 5:10pm ET | $84,154.71 | 0 | $11,082.45 | $11,026.92 |
$-103.78 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 3:00am ET | $74,472.80 | 0 | $11,026.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:00am ET | $77,418.04 | 0 | $11,463.01 | $11,406.79 |
+$379.87 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 11:45am ET | $78,658.01 | 0 | $11,406.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 12, 2025 11:45am ET | $85,125.10 | 0 | $12,344.63 | $12,285.25 |
+$878.46 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET | $106,316.94 | 0 | $12,285.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 1:50pm ET | $109,587.74 | 0 | $12,663.20 | $12,600.83 |
+$315.58 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $112,340.00 | 0 | $12,600.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 12, 2025 5:10pm ET | $115,481.70 | 0 | $12,953.22 | $12,889.34 |
+$288.51 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:40pm ET | $87,744.40 | 0 | $12,889.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 7:40pm ET | $91,449.00 | 0 | $13,433.53 | $13,367.73 |
+$478.39 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $86,680.30 | 0 | $13,367.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:20am ET | $89,721.80 | 0 | $13,836.79 | $13,768.78 |
+$401.05 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $85,205.19 | 0 | $13,768.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $81,134.00 | 0 | $13,110.89 | $13,043.69 |
$-725.09 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET | $74,543.62 | 0 | $13,043.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:35pm ET | $76,744.01 | 0 | $13,428.72 | $13,362.53 |
+$318.84 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $67,456.00 | 0 | $13,362.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $69,271.31 | 0 | $13,722.13 | $13,654.42 |
+$291.89 (+0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $65,896.21 | 0 | $13,654.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $67,521.99 | 0 | $13,991.30 | $13,922.19 |
+$267.77 (+0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,922.19
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,922.19
Total Return:
+39.22%