Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

46
Lifetime
Confidence: 52%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
13.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
8.1/10
Raw Quality 88.5/100
× Confidence 0.52 = 46.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (52%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,229
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$16,317.88
Current Value
$20,517.85
Period P&L
$4,199.97
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.77

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-2.58%
Avg Trade Return
+2.37%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$377,594.24
Estimated Fees
$943.99
Gross P&L
$4,199.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,255.98
Gross Return
+25.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.95%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Crasher Pro had $16,317.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 5:30am ET $2,341.04 7 $16,317.88
🔴 SELL May 11, 2025 5:30am ET $2,513.02 7 $17,516.64 $17,432.06 +$1,114.18
(+6.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:40pm ET $2,480.77 7 $17,432.06
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $2,571.18 7 $18,067.36 $17,978.61 +$546.55
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 4:55pm ET $2,399.04 7 $17,978.61
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2025 4:55pm ET $2,523.23 7 $18,909.30 $18,817.08 +$838.47
(+4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2025 5:30pm ET $2,279.03 8 $18,817.08
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 5:30pm ET $2,343.68 8 $19,350.87 $19,255.45 +$438.37
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:00am ET $4,486.00 4 $19,255.45
🔴 SELL Aug 16, 2025 9:00am ET $4,420.61 4 $18,974.77 $18,879.20 $-376.25
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $4,100.60 5 $18,879.20
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 11:30am ET $4,015.33 5 $18,486.62 $18,393.20 $-486.00
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:50pm ET $2,839.40 6 $18,393.20
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 7:50pm ET $3,004.07 6 $19,459.91 $19,365.27 +$972.07
(+5.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET $2,863.56 7 $19,365.27
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:15am ET $2,975.50 7 $20,122.28 $20,023.56 +$658.29
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $2,385.19 8 $20,023.56
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $2,366.01 8 $19,862.54 $19,762.83 $-260.73
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1,960.87 10 $19,762.83
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 10:20am ET $2,045.80 10 $20,618.81 $20,517.85 +$755.02
(+3.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,517.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,517.85
Total Return: +105.18%
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