Compendium › Danny Dip › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

+2.50%
Last Month Return
$15,866.42
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$15,479.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:26:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 44.0/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 35.9

30-Day Momentum

32
+7.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,518
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,479.95
Current Value
$15,866.42
Period P&L
$386.45
Max Drawdown
-17.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.44%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+2.53%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$90,858.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$386.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$386.45
Gross Return
+2.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,479.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:50am ET $256.74 57 $14,634.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:05am ET $270.05 57 $15,392.85 $15,513.03 +$758.67
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $263.11 58 $15,260.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 58 $14,798.70 $15,051.06 $-461.97
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $234.04 64 $14,978.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $246.78 64 $15,793.92 $15,866.42 +$815.36
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,866.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,866.42
Total Return: +58.66%
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