Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:25:16

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.9%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.3 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,518
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,720.30
Current Value
$7,531.23
Period P&L
$-189.08
Max Drawdown
-64.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+6.57%
Worst Trade
-4.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,169.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-189.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-189.08
Gross Return
-2.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,720.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $311.24 24 $7,469.76
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $301.31 24 $7,231.44 $7,481.99 $-238.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $334.00 22 $7,348.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $351.68 22 $7,736.87 $7,870.86 +$388.87
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:45am ET $394.00 19 $7,486.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:20am ET $413.95 19 $7,865.05 $8,249.91 +$379.05
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $413.21 19 $7,851.08
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $393.51 19 $7,476.69 $7,875.52 $-374.39
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:35am ET $385.00 20 $7,700.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $372.29 20 $7,445.80 $7,621.32 $-254.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $355.10 21 $7,457.00
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $344.25 21 $7,229.25 $7,393.57 $-227.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $336.98 21 $7,076.68
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $324.41 21 $6,812.61 $7,129.50 $-264.07
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $317.42 22 $6,983.35
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $307.81 22 $6,771.82 $6,917.97 $-211.53
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $366.97 18 $6,605.46
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $389.84 18 $7,017.12 $7,329.63 +$411.66
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $411.13 17 $6,989.13
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $438.13 17 $7,448.21 $7,788.72 +$459.09
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $428.50 18 $7,713.00
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $414.20 18 $7,455.51 $7,531.23 $-257.49
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,531.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,468.77
Total Return: -24.69%
Back to Danny Dip