Compendium › Danny Dip › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-13.74%
Last Month Return
$12,657.39
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$14,673.87
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 39.9/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 31.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,752
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,673.87
Current Value
$12,657.39
Period P&L
$-2,016.46
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.09%
Worst Trade
-10.78%
Avg Trade Return
-3.76%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,483.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,016.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,016.46
Gross Return
-13.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,673.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $63.89 232 $14,822.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 232 $13,224.00 $13,256.33 $-1,598.48
(-10.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.83 225 $13,236.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.96 225 $12,816.00 $12,835.58 $-420.75
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 240 $12,825.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $56.16 240 $13,478.40 $13,488.38 +$652.80
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $58.50 230 $13,455.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.89 230 $12,624.70 $12,657.39 $-830.99
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,657.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,657.39
Total Return: +26.57%
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