Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:29:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.3

30-Day Momentum

10
+2.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.5 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,518
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,621.36
Current Value
$14,472.14
Period P&L
$-149.24
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+6.54%
Worst Trade
-3.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$169,237.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-149.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-149.24
Gross Return
-1.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,621.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $46.10 317 $14,613.70
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $44.66 317 $14,157.22 $14,164.90 $-456.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $42.49 333 $14,150.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $41.11 333 $13,689.63 $13,704.23 $-460.67
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $43.00 318 $13,674.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $41.68 318 $13,254.59 $13,284.82 $-419.41
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $41.92 316 $13,246.72
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 316 $14,112.56 $14,150.66 +$865.84
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $48.57 291 $14,133.87
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $51.21 291 $14,902.11 $14,918.90 +$768.24
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET $48.61 306 $14,874.66
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $47.15 306 $14,427.90 $14,472.14 $-446.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,472.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,472.14
Total Return: +44.72%
Back to Danny Dip