Compendium › Danny Dip › USO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
USO
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+0.41%
Last Month Return
$12,364.16
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,313.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:40:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 24.0

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.3 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,313.91
Current Value
$12,364.16
Period P&L
$50.24
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+6.80%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$100,662.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$50.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$50.24
Gross Return
+0.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,313.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 103 $12,278.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $127.31 103 $13,112.93 $13,148.63 +$834.71
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $123.58 106 $13,099.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.85 106 $12,174.50 $12,223.72 $-924.91
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $122.99 99 $12,176.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:35am ET $129.42 99 $12,812.58 $12,860.29 +$636.57
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $146.58 87 $12,752.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $140.88 87 $12,256.13 $12,364.16 $-496.13
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,364.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,364.16
Total Return: +23.64%
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