AMD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 47 trades in period
+147.47%
Last Year Return
$22,459.88
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$9,075.92
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.5/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
39.7/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 38.6
30-Day Momentum
39
+20.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.8
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,420
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,075.92
Current Value
$22,459.88
Period P&L
$13,383.93
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
24 /
23
Best Trade
+32.19%
Worst Trade
-6.71%
Avg Trade Return
+2.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,479,851.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,383.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,383.93
Gross Return
+147.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+147.47%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,075.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.55 | 90 | $8,869.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $103.81 | 90 | $9,342.58 | $9,351.01 |
+$473.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $118.28 | 79 | $9,344.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $114.57 | 79 | $9,051.03 | $9,057.92 |
$-293.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $108.57 | 83 | $9,011.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $114.67 | 83 | $9,517.20 | $9,563.79 |
+$505.87 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $115.40 | 82 | $9,463.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $121.44 | 82 | $9,957.83 | $10,058.48 |
+$494.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $128.40 | 78 | $10,015.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $134.92 | 78 | $10,523.77 | $10,567.05 |
+$508.57 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $137.50 | 76 | $10,449.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $144.39 | 76 | $10,973.62 | $11,091.06 |
+$524.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $142.08 | 78 | $11,082.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.66 | 78 | $12,219.48 | $12,228.30 |
+$1,137.24 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $153.19 | 79 | $12,102.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $160.89 | 79 | $12,710.31 | $12,836.60 |
+$608.30 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $169.87 | 75 | $12,740.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $163.57 | 75 | $12,267.75 | $12,363.78 |
$-472.82 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 11:05am ET | $180.73 | 68 | $12,289.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 10:40am ET | $175.00 | 68 | $11,900.00 | $11,974.48 |
$-389.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:40am ET | $167.63 | 71 | $11,901.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $161.59 | 71 | $11,472.91 | $11,545.66 |
$-428.82 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $162.53 | 71 | $11,539.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $154.69 | 71 | $10,982.99 | $10,989.02 |
$-556.64 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.00 | 72 | $10,944.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $159.78 | 72 | $11,504.16 | $11,549.18 |
+$560.16 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.87 | 73 | $11,451.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $169.07 | 73 | $12,341.75 | $12,439.34 |
+$890.15 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET | $163.37 | 76 | $12,416.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $215.96 | 76 | $16,412.96 | $16,436.18 |
+$3,996.84 (+32.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $210.33 | 78 | $16,406.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 9:50am ET | $223.09 | 78 | $17,401.02 | $17,431.20 |
+$995.02 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET | $223.59 | 77 | $17,216.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $214.25 | 77 | $16,497.25 | $16,712.02 |
$-719.18 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $229.21 | 72 | $16,503.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:30am ET | $241.44 | 72 | $17,383.68 | $17,592.57 |
+$880.55 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:35am ET | $231.38 | 76 | $17,584.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.19 | 76 | $18,938.44 | $18,946.12 |
+$1,353.55 (+7.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 10:50am ET | $254.91 | 74 | $18,863.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.46 | 74 | $18,238.04 | $18,320.82 |
$-625.30 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $250.26 | 73 | $18,268.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $241.46 | 73 | $17,626.58 | $17,678.42 |
$-642.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $230.60 | 76 | $17,525.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.11 | 76 | $18,476.55 | $18,629.37 |
+$950.94 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $249.35 | 74 | $18,451.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.25 | 74 | $17,482.39 | $17,659.86 |
$-969.51 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $230.77 | 76 | $17,538.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:15pm ET | $223.75 | 76 | $17,005.00 | $17,126.64 |
$-533.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $211.20 | 81 | $17,106.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $203.18 | 81 | $16,457.18 | $16,476.94 |
$-649.71 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $198.07 | 83 | $16,439.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $210.50 | 83 | $17,471.50 | $17,508.63 |
+$1,031.69 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $218.78 | 80 | $17,502.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET | $212.14 | 80 | $16,970.80 | $16,977.43 |
$-531.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $213.42 | 79 | $16,860.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:45pm ET | $206.95 | 79 | $16,349.05 | $16,466.34 |
$-511.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET | $202.80 | 81 | $16,426.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $213.03 | 81 | $17,255.43 | $17,294.97 |
+$828.63 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $214.15 | 80 | $17,132.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $206.87 | 80 | $16,549.60 | $16,712.57 |
$-582.40 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $215.46 | 77 | $16,590.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.79 | 77 | $18,001.83 | $18,123.98 |
+$1,411.41 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $244.45 | 74 | $18,089.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.28 | 74 | $19,408.72 | $19,443.40 |
+$1,319.42 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $251.79 | 77 | $19,387.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $243.92 | 77 | $18,781.84 | $18,837.41 |
$-605.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $243.90 | 77 | $18,779.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $236.47 | 77 | $18,208.19 | $18,265.69 |
$-571.73 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.66 | 86 | $18,202.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $204.52 | 86 | $17,588.72 | $17,651.65 |
$-614.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $192.48 | 91 | $17,515.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $203.01 | 91 | $18,473.91 | $18,610.33 |
+$958.68 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $200.92 | 92 | $18,484.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $194.88 | 92 | $17,928.96 | $18,054.65 |
$-555.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.08 | 88 | $18,047.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $198.82 | 88 | $17,496.16 | $17,503.77 |
$-550.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.43 | 91 | $17,419.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $201.13 | 91 | $18,302.56 | $18,386.65 |
+$882.88 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $195.43 | 94 | $18,370.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.15 | 94 | $17,779.63 | $17,795.86 |
$-590.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $198.49 | 89 | $17,665.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.51 | 89 | $18,823.95 | $18,954.19 |
+$1,158.33 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $213.72 | 88 | $18,807.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $207.07 | 88 | $18,222.16 | $18,368.99 |
$-585.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $200.43 | 91 | $18,239.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $193.90 | 91 | $17,645.35 | $17,775.22 |
$-593.77 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 87 | $17,752.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.54 | 87 | $18,664.55 | $18,687.42 |
+$912.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $275.30 | 67 | $18,445.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 67 | $19,515.09 | $19,757.41 |
+$1,069.99 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $334.30 | 59 | $19,723.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.88 | 59 | $18,400.63 | $18,434.04 |
$-1,323.37 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $349.38 | 52 | $18,167.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 52 | $22,193.60 | $22,459.88 |
+$4,025.84 (+22.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,459.88
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,459.88
Total Return:
+124.60%