Compendium › Danny Dip › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 24 trades in period

+17.33%
Last Year Return
$18,418.62
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$15,698.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:28:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 44.6/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 40.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
29,526
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,698.69
Current Value
$18,418.62
Period P&L
$2,719.96
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
12 / 12
Best Trade
+5.93%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$922,580.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,719.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,719.96
Gross Return
+17.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,698.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $49.23 318 $15,653.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 12:10pm ET $51.72 318 $16,446.96 $16,492.09 +$793.41
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:30am ET $55.87 295 $16,481.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:30am ET $56.77 295 $16,745.68 $16,756.11 +$264.03
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $55.83 300 $16,749.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 9:35am ET $59.00 300 $17,700.00 $17,707.11 +$951.00
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 12:25pm ET $67.47 262 $17,677.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $71.11 262 $18,630.82 $18,660.27 +$953.16
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $74.67 249 $18,592.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $71.79 249 $17,875.71 $17,943.15 $-717.12
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:55am ET $74.82 239 $17,881.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET $72.24 239 $17,265.36 $17,326.53 $-616.62
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET $73.72 235 $17,324.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 9:55am ET $77.46 235 $18,203.10 $18,205.43 +$878.90
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $79.07 230 $18,184.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 11:15am ET $83.04 230 $19,099.20 $19,119.68 +$914.25
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $80.97 236 $19,108.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 1:25pm ET $85.11 236 $20,085.96 $20,096.72 +$977.04
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $89.22 225 $20,074.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $86.27 225 $19,410.75 $19,432.97 $-663.75
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $84.83 229 $19,426.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:55am ET $89.29 229 $20,447.48 $20,454.38 +$1,021.41
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $85.67 238 $20,389.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:35am ET $90.08 238 $21,439.04 $21,503.96 +$1,049.58
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $84.66 254 $21,503.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $81.91 254 $20,805.14 $20,805.46 $-698.50
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:35am ET $78.58 264 $20,745.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $83.24 264 $21,974.57 $22,034.90 +$1,229.45
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $78.91 279 $22,015.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $74.83 279 $20,877.57 $20,896.58 $-1,138.32
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $74.49 280 $20,857.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $72.09 280 $20,185.20 $20,224.58 $-672.00
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET $77.20 261 $20,149.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:25am ET $81.32 261 $21,224.52 $21,299.90 +$1,075.32
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET $81.18 262 $21,269.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:45pm ET $78.63 262 $20,601.06 $20,631.80 $-668.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $76.67 269 $20,624.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $74.28 269 $19,981.32 $19,988.89 $-642.91
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $70.77 282 $19,957.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $68.59 282 $19,342.38 $19,374.13 $-614.76
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET $72.31 267 $19,306.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $69.98 267 $18,684.66 $18,752.02 $-622.11
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $69.83 268 $18,714.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $67.67 268 $18,135.56 $18,173.14 $-578.88
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $66.05 275 $18,163.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $69.46 275 $19,101.50 $19,110.89 +$937.75
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $76.93 248 $19,078.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 248 $18,386.72 $18,418.62 $-692.27
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,418.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,418.62
Total Return: +84.19%
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