ARM Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 50 trades in period
+29.09%
Last Year Return
$7,482.80
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$5,796.40
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
23
+7.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.1
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,636
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$5,796.40
Current Value
$7,482.80
Period P&L
$1,686.40
Max Drawdown
-64.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
22 /
28
Best Trade
+10.73%
Worst Trade
-4.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$530,313.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,686.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,686.40
Gross Return
+29.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,796.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:45am ET | $119.20 | 46 | $5,483.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.57 | 46 | $5,270.11 | $5,362.50 |
$-213.10 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $129.57 | 41 | $5,312.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $125.05 | 41 | $5,127.05 | $5,177.18 |
$-185.32 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $134.08 | 38 | $5,095.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 1:15pm ET | $129.92 | 38 | $4,936.96 | $5,019.10 |
$-158.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $156.33 | 32 | $5,002.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $151.19 | 32 | $4,837.99 | $4,854.54 |
$-164.57 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $142.35 | 34 | $4,839.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 12:05pm ET | $149.75 | 34 | $5,091.61 | $5,106.25 |
+$251.71 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $159.60 | 31 | $4,947.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $154.43 | 31 | $4,787.33 | $4,945.98 |
$-160.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $141.22 | 35 | $4,942.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $136.25 | 35 | $4,768.58 | $4,771.86 |
$-174.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $135.21 | 35 | $4,732.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $142.31 | 35 | $4,980.82 | $5,020.29 |
+$248.43 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:40am ET | $137.57 | 36 | $4,952.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $131.74 | 36 | $4,742.64 | $4,810.35 |
$-209.93 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $138.25 | 34 | $4,700.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $133.33 | 34 | $4,533.22 | $4,643.07 |
$-167.28 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $151.84 | 30 | $4,555.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $144.38 | 30 | $4,331.40 | $4,419.23 |
$-223.84 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $139.67 | 31 | $4,329.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $147.97 | 31 | $4,586.92 | $4,676.43 |
+$257.20 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $161.96 | 28 | $4,534.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 2:50pm ET | $170.47 | 28 | $4,773.16 | $4,914.71 |
+$238.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 1:30pm ET | $172.98 | 28 | $4,843.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET | $167.37 | 28 | $4,686.26 | $4,757.53 |
$-157.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $165.75 | 28 | $4,641.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $174.20 | 28 | $4,877.60 | $4,994.13 |
+$236.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $167.01 | 29 | $4,843.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 12:15pm ET | $161.67 | 29 | $4,688.43 | $4,839.27 |
$-154.86 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:25am ET | $157.58 | 30 | $4,727.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $150.94 | 30 | $4,528.05 | $4,639.92 |
$-199.35 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.49 | 30 | $4,514.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $145.44 | 30 | $4,363.05 | $4,488.27 |
$-151.65 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $135.82 | 33 | $4,482.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:55am ET | $142.62 | 33 | $4,706.59 | $4,712.83 |
+$224.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $130.52 | 36 | $4,698.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $126.25 | 36 | $4,545.00 | $4,559.29 |
$-153.54 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.68 | 34 | $4,442.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.49 | 34 | $4,674.75 | $4,791.09 |
+$231.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $136.21 | 35 | $4,767.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $131.58 | 35 | $4,605.30 | $4,629.04 |
$-162.05 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:00am ET | $126.19 | 36 | $4,542.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $122.18 | 36 | $4,398.30 | $4,484.50 |
$-144.54 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $117.15 | 38 | $4,451.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $113.45 | 38 | $4,311.16 | $4,343.96 |
$-140.54 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $112.46 | 38 | $4,273.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $108.82 | 38 | $4,134.97 | $4,205.45 |
$-138.51 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $102.59 | 40 | $4,103.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.36 | 40 | $4,334.20 | $4,436.05 |
+$230.60 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $113.13 | 39 | $4,412.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.96 | 39 | $4,717.44 | $4,741.42 |
+$305.37 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $116.30 | 40 | $4,652.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.69 | 40 | $4,467.60 | $4,557.02 |
$-184.40 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $106.55 | 42 | $4,475.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $103.33 | 42 | $4,339.86 | $4,421.69 |
$-135.33 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.26 | 43 | $4,397.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $108.14 | 43 | $4,650.02 | $4,674.54 |
+$252.84 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
36m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.23 | 39 | $4,649.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $124.78 | 39 | $4,866.42 | $4,890.98 |
+$216.44 (+4.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $121.94 | 40 | $4,877.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.42 | 40 | $5,136.80 | $5,150.18 |
+$259.20 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $123.50 | 41 | $5,063.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $129.70 | 41 | $5,317.70 | $5,404.58 |
+$254.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $127.75 | 42 | $5,365.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.83 | 42 | $5,158.86 | $5,197.94 |
$-206.64 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.77 | 43 | $5,107.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.76 | 43 | $5,364.68 | $5,455.51 |
+$257.57 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $119.99 | 45 | $5,399.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $116.33 | 45 | $5,235.07 | $5,291.04 |
$-164.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $116.61 | 45 | $5,247.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $122.44 | 45 | $5,510.02 | $5,553.61 |
+$262.57 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.50 | 44 | $5,521.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.83 | 44 | $6,064.52 | $6,096.35 |
+$542.74 (+9.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $133.98 | 45 | $6,029.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.35 | 45 | $6,675.97 | $6,743.23 |
+$646.88 (+10.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.31 | 45 | $6,628.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $142.50 | 45 | $6,412.50 | $6,526.78 |
$-216.45 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $139.32 | 46 | $6,408.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $146.33 | 46 | $6,731.01 | $6,849.06 |
+$322.28 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $152.96 | 44 | $6,730.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $148.18 | 44 | $6,520.14 | $6,638.96 |
$-210.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.04 | 46 | $6,626.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $138.60 | 46 | $6,375.60 | $6,388.49 |
$-250.47 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $146.95 | 43 | $6,318.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $156.46 | 43 | $6,727.78 | $6,797.63 |
+$409.14 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $173.88 | 39 | $6,781.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $183.20 | 39 | $7,144.80 | $7,161.11 |
+$363.48 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $201.40 | 35 | $7,048.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.94 | 35 | $7,767.95 | $7,880.17 |
+$719.06 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.49 | 35 | $7,857.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $217.30 | 35 | $7,605.50 | $7,628.52 |
$-251.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $201.94 | 37 | $7,471.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $194.24 | 37 | $7,187.06 | $7,343.80 |
$-284.72 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.96 | 35 | $7,278.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $201.60 | 35 | $7,056.00 | $7,121.20 |
$-222.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $221.69 | 32 | $7,094.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $232.99 | 32 | $7,455.68 | $7,482.80 |
+$361.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,482.80
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,517.20
Total Return:
-25.17%