AVGO Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+17.03%
Last Year Return
$22,007.47
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$18,805.33
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
45
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.8/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
48.2/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 45.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,322
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$18,805.33
Current Value
$22,007.47
Period P&L
$3,202.15
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
15 /
18
Best Trade
+8.13%
Worst Trade
-6.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,266,547.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,202.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,202.15
Gross Return
+17.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $18,805.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $250.89 | 74 | $18,565.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.13 | 74 | $17,991.62 | $18,231.27 |
$-574.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $266.94 | 68 | $18,151.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $280.47 | 68 | $19,072.03 | $19,151.37 |
+$920.11 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $280.10 | 68 | $19,046.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 3:15pm ET | $294.20 | 68 | $20,005.60 | $20,110.17 |
+$958.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $284.96 | 70 | $19,946.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $299.49 | 70 | $20,963.95 | $21,127.27 |
+$1,017.10 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $302.85 | 69 | $20,896.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 1:05pm ET | $293.62 | 69 | $20,259.78 | $20,490.40 |
$-636.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $301.21 | 68 | $20,482.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $289.20 | 68 | $19,665.60 | $19,673.72 |
$-816.68 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $337.60 | 58 | $19,580.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $354.78 | 58 | $20,576.95 | $20,669.87 |
+$996.15 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $349.72 | 59 | $20,633.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $338.08 | 59 | $19,946.72 | $19,983.11 |
$-686.76 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $329.17 | 60 | $19,750.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $342.29 | 60 | $20,537.40 | $20,770.31 |
+$787.20 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $337.15 | 61 | $20,566.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:25pm ET | $326.32 | 61 | $19,905.79 | $20,109.96 |
$-660.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.39 | 58 | $19,974.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 10:35am ET | $361.64 | 58 | $20,975.12 | $21,110.46 |
+$1,000.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $374.23 | 56 | $20,956.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:40pm ET | $362.81 | 56 | $20,317.36 | $20,470.94 |
$-639.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.53 | 59 | $20,327.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $329.97 | 59 | $19,468.24 | $19,611.90 |
$-859.03 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $363.45 | 53 | $19,262.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:45pm ET | $352.03 | 53 | $18,657.59 | $19,006.64 |
$-605.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $390.10 | 48 | $18,724.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $376.95 | 48 | $18,093.60 | $18,375.44 |
$-631.20 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $400.28 | 45 | $18,012.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $374.57 | 45 | $16,855.43 | $17,218.22 |
$-1,157.22 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $348.89 | 49 | $17,095.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $337.31 | 49 | $16,528.19 | $16,650.81 |
$-567.42 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:20am ET | $332.58 | 50 | $16,629.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:05pm ET | $322.48 | 50 | $16,124.00 | $16,145.81 |
$-505.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $337.69 | 47 | $15,871.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $355.33 | 47 | $16,700.42 | $16,974.80 |
+$828.99 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $341.05 | 49 | $16,711.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $330.79 | 49 | $16,208.71 | $16,472.06 |
$-502.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.67 | 52 | $16,414.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $331.96 | 52 | $17,261.92 | $17,319.14 |
+$847.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $323.94 | 53 | $17,168.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $313.64 | 53 | $16,622.66 | $16,772.97 |
$-546.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $302.48 | 55 | $16,636.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $322.70 | 55 | $17,748.50 | $17,885.20 |
+$1,112.23 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $317.91 | 56 | $17,802.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $333.88 | 56 | $18,697.28 | $18,779.51 |
+$894.31 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $316.93 | 59 | $18,698.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.83 | 59 | $19,695.97 | $19,776.61 |
+$997.10 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $323.20 | 61 | $19,715.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $311.42 | 61 | $18,996.62 | $19,058.03 |
$-718.58 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.36 | 61 | $18,870.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.82 | 61 | $20,118.72 | $20,305.79 |
+$1,247.76 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $329.77 | 61 | $20,116.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $346.44 | 61 | $21,132.84 | $21,322.60 |
+$1,016.81 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $327.28 | 65 | $21,273.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $317.33 | 65 | $20,626.77 | $20,676.17 |
$-646.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $315.33 | 65 | $20,496.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 65 | $19,812.65 | $19,992.37 |
$-683.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $292.64 | 68 | $19,899.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $307.70 | 68 | $20,923.77 | $21,016.28 |
+$1,023.91 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $302.15 | 69 | $20,848.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.71 | 69 | $22,542.99 | $22,710.92 |
+$1,694.64 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $409.89 | 55 | $22,543.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $397.10 | 55 | $21,840.23 | $22,007.47 |
$-703.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,007.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,007.47
Total Return:
+120.07%