Compendium › Danny Dip › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 27 trades in period

-12.66%
Last Year Return
$6,979.78
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$7,913.81
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,319
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,913.81
Current Value
$6,979.78
Period P&L
$-1,001.80
Max Drawdown
-38.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
12 / 15
Best Trade
+5.73%
Worst Trade
-6.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$400,242.63
Estimated Fees
$1,000.61
Gross P&L
$-1,001.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,002.41
Gross Return
-12.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.30%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,913.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET $106,316.94 0 $7,913.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 11:45pm ET $111,744.79 0 $8,317.81 $8,277.23 +$363.45
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2025 10:20am ET $99,668.95 0 $8,277.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 6:05pm ET $105,138.00 0 $8,731.42 $8,688.90 +$411.67
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $112,340.00 0 $8,688.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $104,710.00 0 $8,098.76 $8,056.79 $-632.11
(-6.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $108,750.00 0 $8,056.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 7:35pm ET $114,440.00 0 $8,478.33 $8,436.99 +$380.21
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET $89,501.50 0 $8,436.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $86,727.70 0 $8,175.52 $8,133.99 $-303.01
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $86,799.00 0 $8,133.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET $83,481.00 0 $7,823.06 $7,783.16 $-350.82
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET $82,685.00 0 $7,783.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 23, 2025 7:25am ET $86,947.00 0 $8,184.35 $8,144.43 +$361.26
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:25pm ET $88,373.50 0 $8,144.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 7:30am ET $85,689.60 0 $7,897.08 $7,856.98 $-287.45
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET $88,399.90 0 $7,856.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET $93,042.90 0 $8,269.65 $8,229.33 +$372.35
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $89,716.00 0 $8,229.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET $87,012.10 0 $7,981.31 $7,940.78 $-288.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET $86,680.30 0 $7,940.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET $87,711.00 0 $8,035.21 $7,995.27 +$54.48
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET $92,432.30 0 $7,995.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $89,568.00 0 $7,747.51 $7,708.15 $-287.11
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $87,354.00 0 $7,708.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $84,467.75 0 $7,453.47 $7,415.56 $-292.59
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $84,491.00 0 $7,415.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET $81,899.82 0 $7,188.14 $7,151.63 $-263.93
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET $81,877.98 0 $7,151.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET $79,357.65 0 $6,931.50 $6,896.29 $-255.35
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $78,722.21 0 $6,896.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET $75,923.85 0 $6,651.14 $6,617.27 $-279.01
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET $75,030.00 0 $6,617.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $79,006.64 0 $6,967.99 $6,934.03 +$316.76
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $75,620.02 0 $6,934.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $73,208.30 0 $6,712.89 $6,678.77 $-255.26
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $73,097.99 0 $6,678.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $76,839.74 0 $7,020.64 $6,986.40 +$307.63
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $67,872.75 0 $6,986.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $65,677.00 0 $6,760.38 $6,726.01 $-260.38
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $65,890.21 0 $6,726.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $63,743.50 0 $6,506.88 $6,473.79 $-252.22
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $63,623.00 0 $6,473.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $61,345.00 0 $6,242.00 $6,210.21 $-263.58
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $60,285.00 0 $6,210.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET $63,737.88 0 $6,565.91 $6,533.97 +$323.76
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $64,680.80 0 $6,533.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $67,982.79 0 $6,867.53 $6,834.03 +$300.06
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 1:55am ET $68,749.00 0 $6,834.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET $69,280.40 0 $6,886.85 $6,852.55 +$18.52
(+0.8%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $65,480.00 0 $6,852.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:50pm ET $63,502.70 0 $6,645.62 $6,645.62 $-240.67
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET $63,403.80 0 $6,645.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $66,591.90 0 $6,979.78 $6,979.78 +$300.09
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,979.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,020.22
Total Return: -30.20%
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