BTCUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-02-15 to present • 41 trades in period
-28.21%
Last Year Return
$6,852.55
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$9,545.50
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,196
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-02-15 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,545.50
Current Value
$6,852.55
Period P&L
$-2,692.91
Max Drawdown
-38.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
16 /
25
Best Trade
+6.61%
Worst Trade
-6.79%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$632,325.05
Estimated Fees
$1,580.81
Gross P&L
$-2,692.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,273.72
Gross Return
-28.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-44.77%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,545.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 2:30am ET | $89,000.00 | 0 | $9,545.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $86,068.77 | 0 | $9,231.10 | $9,184.16 |
$-361.32 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 1:35pm ET | $83,490.39 | 0 | $9,184.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 9:30pm ET | $80,251.83 | 0 | $8,827.91 | $8,782.88 |
$-401.28 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:35pm ET | $80,885.00 | 0 | $8,782.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 3:20am ET | $78,405.25 | 0 | $8,513.62 | $8,470.38 |
$-312.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:50am ET | $90,147.72 | 0 | $8,470.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $86,904.12 | 0 | $8,165.60 | $8,124.01 |
$-346.36 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $87,238.82 | 0 | $8,124.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 8:35pm ET | $84,293.91 | 0 | $7,849.77 | $7,809.84 |
$-314.18 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 8:40pm ET | $83,489.59 | 0 | $7,809.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 2:00pm ET | $87,672.00 | 0 | $8,201.07 | $8,161.04 |
+$351.21 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 7:20pm ET | $87,350.02 | 0 | $8,161.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2025 8:05am ET | $84,297.03 | 0 | $7,875.81 | $7,835.71 |
$-325.33 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $80,709.61 | 0 | $7,835.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $78,233.28 | 0 | $7,595.30 | $7,556.72 |
$-278.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 8:30pm ET | $77,014.42 | 0 | $7,556.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2025 4:25am ET | $80,919.79 | 0 | $7,939.92 | $7,901.18 |
+$344.46 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 11:05am ET | $80,890.23 | 0 | $7,901.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $84,939.37 | 0 | $8,296.69 | $8,256.19 |
+$355.02 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2025 5:00pm ET | $85,309.37 | 0 | $8,256.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2025 6:40pm ET | $82,689.82 | 0 | $8,002.68 | $7,962.03 |
$-294.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 7:20am ET | $82,082.16 | 0 | $7,962.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2025 2:35pm ET | $79,538.02 | 0 | $7,715.24 | $7,676.05 |
$-285.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2025 2:40pm ET | $79,142.04 | 0 | $7,676.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 12:40am ET | $76,756.57 | 0 | $7,444.68 | $7,406.88 |
$-269.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET | $74,608.90 | 0 | $7,406.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $79,539.86 | 0 | $7,896.41 | $7,858.15 |
+$451.27 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $77,793.21 | 0 | $7,858.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:10pm ET | $75,265.13 | 0 | $7,602.78 | $7,564.13 |
$-294.02 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 11:45am ET | $78,658.01 | 0 | $7,564.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 6:15am ET | $82,697.38 | 0 | $7,952.57 | $7,913.78 |
+$349.65 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:50pm ET | $106,316.94 | 0 | $7,913.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 11:45pm ET | $111,744.79 | 0 | $8,317.81 | $8,277.23 |
+$363.45 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $99,668.95 | 0 | $8,277.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 6:05pm ET | $105,138.00 | 0 | $8,731.42 | $8,688.90 |
+$411.67 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $112,340.00 | 0 | $8,688.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET | $104,710.00 | 0 | $8,098.76 | $8,056.79 |
$-632.11 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET | $108,750.00 | 0 | $8,056.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 7:35pm ET | $114,440.00 | 0 | $8,478.33 | $8,436.99 |
+$380.21 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET | $89,501.50 | 0 | $8,436.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET | $86,727.70 | 0 | $8,175.52 | $8,133.99 |
$-303.01 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET | $86,799.00 | 0 | $8,133.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $83,481.00 | 0 | $7,823.06 | $7,783.16 |
$-350.82 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $82,685.00 | 0 | $7,783.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 23, 2025 7:25am ET | $86,947.00 | 0 | $8,184.35 | $8,144.43 |
+$361.26 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:25pm ET | $88,373.50 | 0 | $8,144.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 7:30am ET | $85,689.60 | 0 | $7,897.08 | $7,856.98 |
$-287.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:40am ET | $88,399.90 | 0 | $7,856.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET | $93,042.90 | 0 | $8,269.65 | $8,229.33 |
+$372.35 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $89,716.00 | 0 | $8,229.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $87,012.10 | 0 | $7,981.31 | $7,940.78 |
$-288.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $86,680.30 | 0 | $7,940.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $87,711.00 | 0 | $8,035.21 | $7,995.27 |
+$54.48 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET | $92,432.30 | 0 | $7,995.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $89,568.00 | 0 | $7,747.51 | $7,708.15 |
$-287.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $87,354.00 | 0 | $7,708.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $84,467.75 | 0 | $7,453.47 | $7,415.56 |
$-292.59 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET | $84,491.00 | 0 | $7,415.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $81,899.82 | 0 | $7,188.14 | $7,151.63 |
$-263.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET | $81,877.98 | 0 | $7,151.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $79,357.65 | 0 | $6,931.50 | $6,896.29 |
$-255.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $78,722.21 | 0 | $6,896.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $75,923.85 | 0 | $6,651.14 | $6,617.27 |
$-279.01 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET | $75,030.00 | 0 | $6,617.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $79,006.64 | 0 | $6,967.99 | $6,934.03 |
+$316.76 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $75,620.02 | 0 | $6,934.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $73,208.30 | 0 | $6,712.89 | $6,678.77 |
$-255.26 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $73,097.99 | 0 | $6,678.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 4:00pm ET | $76,839.74 | 0 | $7,020.64 | $6,986.40 |
+$307.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $67,872.75 | 0 | $6,986.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $65,677.00 | 0 | $6,760.38 | $6,726.01 |
$-260.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $65,890.21 | 0 | $6,726.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $63,743.50 | 0 | $6,506.88 | $6,473.79 |
$-252.22 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $63,623.00 | 0 | $6,473.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $61,345.00 | 0 | $6,242.00 | $6,210.21 |
$-263.58 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $60,285.00 | 0 | $6,210.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:50pm ET | $63,737.88 | 0 | $6,565.91 | $6,533.97 |
+$323.76 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $64,680.80 | 0 | $6,533.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $67,982.79 | 0 | $6,867.53 | $6,834.03 |
+$300.06 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 1:55am ET | $68,749.00 | 0 | $6,834.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $69,280.40 | 0 | $6,886.85 | $6,852.55 |
+$18.52 (+0.8%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,852.55
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,147.45
Total Return:
-31.47%