CRWD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 33 trades in period
-7.64%
Last Year Return
$9,185.34
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$9,944.72
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
5.5/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 5.3
30-Day Momentum
0
-2.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,147
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,944.72
Current Value
$9,185.34
Period P&L
$-759.37
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
12 /
21
Best Trade
+8.66%
Worst Trade
-6.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$688,741.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-759.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-759.37
Gross Return
-7.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.64%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,944.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $434.61 | 22 | $9,561.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $421.28 | 22 | $9,268.16 | $9,651.45 |
$-293.26 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $416.82 | 23 | $9,586.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $438.24 | 23 | $10,079.49 | $10,144.09 |
+$492.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $456.44 | 22 | $10,041.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $483.08 | 22 | $10,627.76 | $10,730.28 |
+$586.19 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $449.00 | 23 | $10,327.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $472.96 | 23 | $10,878.08 | $11,281.36 |
+$551.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $465.26 | 24 | $11,166.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $489.02 | 24 | $11,736.48 | $11,851.60 |
+$570.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $497.80 | 23 | $11,449.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:45am ET | $482.13 | 23 | $11,088.88 | $11,491.07 |
$-360.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $494.09 | 23 | $11,363.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 3:15pm ET | $478.70 | 23 | $11,009.99 | $11,137.10 |
$-353.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $458.07 | 24 | $10,993.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $442.22 | 24 | $10,613.28 | $10,756.70 |
$-380.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 11:20am ET | $443.83 | 24 | $10,651.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:45am ET | $428.48 | 24 | $10,283.52 | $10,388.30 |
$-368.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 10:45am ET | $428.71 | 24 | $10,288.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $412.88 | 24 | $9,909.12 | $10,008.45 |
$-379.85 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 11:00am ET | $438.49 | 22 | $9,646.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $476.48 | 22 | $10,482.56 | $10,844.23 |
+$835.78 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $488.50 | 22 | $10,747.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $471.29 | 22 | $10,368.27 | $10,465.50 |
$-378.73 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $477.84 | 21 | $10,034.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $502.75 | 21 | $10,557.75 | $10,988.61 |
+$523.11 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $498.70 | 22 | $10,971.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 11:25am ET | $483.19 | 22 | $10,630.10 | $10,647.31 |
$-341.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $522.35 | 20 | $10,446.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $549.73 | 20 | $10,994.60 | $11,195.01 |
+$547.70 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $531.76 | 21 | $11,166.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $514.78 | 21 | $10,810.38 | $10,838.43 |
$-356.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET | $520.00 | 20 | $10,400.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $502.04 | 20 | $10,040.80 | $10,479.23 |
$-359.20 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $497.64 | 21 | $10,450.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $524.48 | 21 | $11,014.08 | $11,042.92 |
+$563.69 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $475.78 | 23 | $10,942.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 10:50am ET | $473.60 | 23 | $10,892.80 | $10,992.90 |
$-50.02 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $454.60 | 24 | $10,910.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $480.20 | 24 | $11,524.80 | $11,607.30 |
+$614.40 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $465.67 | 24 | $11,176.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $450.95 | 24 | $10,822.80 | $11,254.02 |
$-353.28 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $442.32 | 25 | $11,058.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $464.95 | 25 | $11,623.63 | $11,819.64 |
+$565.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.43 | 26 | $11,633.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $433.86 | 26 | $11,280.36 | $11,466.95 |
$-352.69 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $424.29 | 27 | $11,455.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.00 | 27 | $11,070.00 | $11,081.12 |
$-385.83 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $399.01 | 27 | $10,773.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $386.17 | 27 | $10,426.59 | $10,734.47 |
$-346.65 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $418.00 | 25 | $10,450.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $404.98 | 25 | $10,124.62 | $10,409.09 |
$-325.38 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $413.28 | 25 | $10,332.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $397.75 | 25 | $9,943.75 | $10,020.84 |
$-388.25 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.35 | 27 | $9,945.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $387.15 | 27 | $10,453.08 | $10,528.47 |
+$507.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $436.11 | 24 | $10,466.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.44 | 24 | $9,994.56 | $10,056.27 |
$-472.20 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $394.80 | 25 | $9,870.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 25 | $9,260.75 | $9,447.02 |
$-609.25 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $433.88 | 21 | $9,111.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $415.58 | 21 | $8,727.28 | $9,062.82 |
$-384.20 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $382.79 | 23 | $8,804.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $369.45 | 23 | $8,497.24 | $8,755.94 |
$-306.88 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.74 | 19 | $8,526.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $471.34 | 19 | $8,955.46 | $9,185.34 |
+$429.40 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,185.34
Net Profit/Loss:
$-814.66
Total Return:
-8.15%