DKNG Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 37 trades in period
-18.21%
Last Year Return
$11,939.43
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$14,596.84
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
18.0/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 17.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,465
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$14,596.84
Current Value
$11,939.43
Period P&L
$-2,657.42
Max Drawdown
-45.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
12 /
25
Best Trade
+6.96%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$922,313.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,657.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,657.42
Gross Return
-18.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,596.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:20am ET | $36.00 | 405 | $14,579.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.51 | 405 | $15,594.53 | $15,611.47 |
+$1,014.61 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $37.14 | 420 | $15,598.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $36.03 | 420 | $15,130.50 | $15,143.17 |
$-468.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.05 | 444 | $15,118.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $33.01 | 444 | $14,656.44 | $14,681.41 |
$-461.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:50am ET | $41.99 | 349 | $14,654.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 349 | $13,963.49 | $13,990.39 |
$-691.02 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 321 | $13,950.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 11:20am ET | $45.65 | 321 | $14,653.65 | $14,693.96 |
+$703.57 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $44.94 | 326 | $14,650.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.43 | 326 | $14,158.18 | $14,201.70 |
$-492.26 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $46.74 | 303 | $14,162.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $45.32 | 303 | $13,731.96 | $13,771.44 |
$-430.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $44.00 | 312 | $13,728.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $42.68 | 312 | $13,314.60 | $13,358.04 |
$-413.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $41.64 | 320 | $13,324.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:45am ET | $40.16 | 320 | $12,851.20 | $12,884.40 |
$-473.63 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET | $36.77 | 350 | $12,868.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 2:55pm ET | $35.60 | 350 | $12,458.25 | $12,473.82 |
$-410.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.81 | 368 | $12,440.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.70 | 368 | $12,034.59 | $12,068.10 |
$-405.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $33.90 | 355 | $12,036.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:50pm ET | $32.75 | 355 | $11,626.25 | $11,658.29 |
$-409.81 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $33.65 | 346 | $11,642.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.27 | 346 | $11,165.42 | $11,180.81 |
$-477.48 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.98 | 349 | $11,159.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 1:15pm ET | $30.89 | 349 | $10,778.87 | $10,800.40 |
$-380.41 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.22 | 357 | $10,788.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $29.31 | 357 | $10,461.89 | $10,473.74 |
$-326.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.95 | 388 | $10,456.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET | $28.34 | 388 | $10,995.92 | $11,013.10 |
+$539.36 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $30.07 | 366 | $11,005.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:55am ET | $31.71 | 366 | $11,605.86 | $11,613.34 |
+$600.24 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET | $30.56 | 380 | $11,610.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $29.59 | 380 | $11,242.30 | $11,244.74 |
$-368.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $28.78 | 390 | $11,224.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.32 | 390 | $11,824.80 | $11,845.34 |
+$600.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:15pm ET | $34.45 | 343 | $11,816.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $36.20 | 343 | $12,416.60 | $12,445.59 |
+$600.25 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $34.75 | 358 | $12,440.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.69 | 358 | $12,061.02 | $12,066.11 |
$-379.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $34.42 | 350 | $12,047.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $36.17 | 350 | $12,659.50 | $12,678.61 |
+$612.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.01 | 372 | $12,651.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $32.81 | 372 | $12,205.32 | $12,232.21 |
$-446.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $31.20 | 392 | $12,230.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $30.23 | 392 | $11,850.16 | $11,851.97 |
$-380.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $29.98 | 395 | $11,843.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.00 | 395 | $11,455.00 | $11,463.01 |
$-388.96 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.65 | 430 | $11,459.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $25.84 | 430 | $11,113.35 | $11,116.86 |
$-346.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.60 | 417 | $11,092.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.77 | 417 | $10,746.09 | $10,770.75 |
$-346.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET | $21.29 | 505 | $10,751.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $22.41 | 505 | $11,317.05 | $11,336.35 |
+$565.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $21.63 | 524 | $11,334.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.71 | 524 | $11,901.98 | $11,904.21 |
+$567.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.67 | 525 | $11,901.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $23.81 | 525 | $12,500.20 | $12,502.66 |
+$598.45 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $24.89 | 502 | $12,494.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.29 | 502 | $13,197.58 | $13,205.46 |
+$702.80 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.12 | 525 | $13,188.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $24.36 | 525 | $12,789.00 | $12,806.46 |
$-399.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.12 | 530 | $12,783.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $23.38 | 530 | $12,391.72 | $12,414.58 |
$-391.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $22.82 | 544 | $12,414.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $22.10 | 544 | $12,022.40 | $12,022.90 |
$-391.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $20.68 | 581 | $12,015.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.89 | 581 | $12,715.19 | $12,723.00 |
+$700.10 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.18 | 548 | $12,701.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $22.47 | 548 | $12,313.51 | $12,334.96 |
$-388.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.07 | 534 | $12,319.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $22.33 | 534 | $11,923.85 | $11,939.43 |
$-395.53 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,939.43
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,939.43
Total Return:
+19.39%