Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:42:51

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,639
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,336.57
Current Value
$8,932.30
Period P&L
$-1,404.28
Max Drawdown
-20.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+5.19%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
-1.46%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,096.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,404.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,404.28
Gross Return
-13.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,336.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 10:00am ET $501.34 20 $10,026.80
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 3:05pm ET $485.92 20 $9,718.40 $10,028.18 $-308.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 12:10pm ET $449.88 22 $9,897.36
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 1:35pm ET $435.79 22 $9,587.27 $9,718.09 $-310.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET $432.90 22 $9,523.69
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:50am ET $454.79 22 $10,005.38 $10,199.78 +$481.69
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $569.23 17 $9,676.91
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $547.81 17 $9,312.77 $9,835.64 $-364.14
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $506.96 19 $9,632.24
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35am ET $491.64 19 $9,341.25 $9,544.65 $-290.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $480.68 19 $9,132.92
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $460.16 19 $8,743.04 $9,154.77 $-389.88
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $456.60 20 $9,132.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $450.41 20 $9,008.20 $9,030.97 $-123.80
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $451.70 19 $8,582.30
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $437.81 19 $8,318.39 $8,767.06 $-263.91
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
9 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $436.07 20 $8,721.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $422.45 20 $8,449.00 $8,494.66 $-272.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $401.18 21 $8,424.78
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $422.02 21 $8,862.42 $8,932.30 +$437.64
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,932.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,067.70
Total Return: -10.68%
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