MU Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 46 trades in period
+123.05%
Last Year Return
$18,603.04
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$8,340.38
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
35.3/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 34.4
30-Day Momentum
74
+52.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
7
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.7
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,021
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,340.38
Current Value
$18,603.04
Period P&L
$10,262.68
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
26 /
20
Best Trade
+12.49%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.90%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,011,423.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,262.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,262.68
Gross Return
+123.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+123.05%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,340.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $96.40 | 86 | $8,289.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $102.62 | 86 | $8,825.32 | $8,875.71 |
+$535.35 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $119.64 | 74 | $8,853.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $125.86 | 74 | $9,313.64 | $9,335.99 |
+$460.28 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.50 | 79 | $9,282.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.43 | 79 | $8,802.98 | $8,856.47 |
$-479.52 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $109.71 | 80 | $8,776.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $105.72 | 80 | $8,457.60 | $8,537.27 |
$-319.20 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.46 | 70 | $8,502.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $117.75 | 70 | $8,242.29 | $8,277.36 |
$-259.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.87 | 72 | $8,270.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 11:50am ET | $120.85 | 72 | $8,701.20 | $8,707.92 |
+$430.56 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $162.50 | 53 | $8,612.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.25 | 53 | $8,280.99 | $8,376.53 |
$-331.39 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $194.23 | 43 | $8,351.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $185.56 | 43 | $7,979.08 | $8,003.72 |
$-372.81 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $193.94 | 41 | $7,951.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.55 | 41 | $8,386.41 | $8,438.59 |
+$434.87 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $221.27 | 38 | $8,408.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $235.27 | 38 | $8,940.26 | $8,970.54 |
+$531.95 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $219.36 | 40 | $8,774.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $238.08 | 40 | $9,523.00 | $9,719.14 |
+$748.60 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $233.23 | 41 | $9,562.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $253.46 | 41 | $10,391.86 | $10,548.70 |
+$829.56 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $242.13 | 43 | $10,411.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $233.50 | 43 | $10,040.50 | $10,177.61 |
$-371.09 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $242.44 | 41 | $9,940.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $231.28 | 41 | $9,482.28 | $9,719.85 |
$-457.77 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.18 | 47 | $9,596.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:20pm ET | $197.63 | 47 | $9,288.61 | $9,412.00 |
$-307.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.39 | 40 | $9,295.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:20am ET | $225.24 | 40 | $9,009.60 | $9,126.00 |
$-286.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $246.25 | 37 | $9,111.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:00pm ET | $238.74 | 37 | $8,833.38 | $8,848.13 |
$-277.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $228.94 | 38 | $8,699.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $222.03 | 38 | $8,437.14 | $8,585.37 |
$-262.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 2:55pm ET | $250.09 | 34 | $8,503.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $266.25 | 34 | $9,052.50 | $9,134.81 |
+$549.44 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:35am ET | $286.25 | 31 | $8,873.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.59 | 31 | $9,380.29 | $9,641.35 |
+$506.54 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $328.58 | 29 | $9,528.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $345.09 | 29 | $10,007.61 | $10,120.13 |
+$478.79 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $366.34 | 27 | $9,891.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $389.01 | 27 | $10,503.27 | $10,732.22 |
+$612.09 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $398.04 | 26 | $10,349.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $385.13 | 26 | $10,013.38 | $10,396.56 |
$-335.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $429.57 | 24 | $10,309.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $451.58 | 24 | $10,837.92 | $10,924.80 |
+$528.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $418.51 | 26 | $10,881.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.66 | 26 | $10,495.15 | $10,538.69 |
$-386.11 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $373.54 | 28 | $10,459.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $393.41 | 28 | $11,015.48 | $11,095.06 |
+$556.37 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.10 | 29 | $10,790.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $391.42 | 29 | $11,351.32 | $11,655.48 |
+$560.42 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $386.88 | 30 | $11,606.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $406.43 | 30 | $12,193.05 | $12,242.13 |
+$586.65 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.61 | 30 | $12,018.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $421.36 | 30 | $12,640.80 | $12,864.63 |
+$622.50 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $417.34 | 30 | $12,520.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $403.51 | 30 | $12,105.30 | $12,449.73 |
$-414.90 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $402.79 | 30 | $12,083.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.00 | 30 | $11,550.00 | $11,916.03 |
$-533.70 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $387.07 | 30 | $11,612.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $374.48 | 30 | $11,234.40 | $11,538.33 |
$-377.70 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $408.49 | 28 | $11,437.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 28 | $12,503.12 | $12,603.73 |
+$1,065.40 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 29 | $12,296.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $449.11 | 29 | $13,024.05 | $13,331.78 |
+$728.05 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $433.79 | 30 | $13,013.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $420.70 | 30 | $12,621.02 | $12,939.25 |
$-392.53 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $391.70 | 33 | $12,926.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.00 | 33 | $12,441.00 | $12,454.15 |
$-485.10 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $369.00 | 33 | $12,177.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $357.85 | 33 | $11,809.05 | $12,086.20 |
$-367.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.18 | 35 | $12,081.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $332.80 | 35 | $11,648.00 | $11,652.72 |
$-433.48 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 34 | $11,590.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $358.14 | 34 | $12,176.76 | $12,238.68 |
+$585.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $368.20 | 33 | $12,150.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 33 | $13,668.10 | $13,756.02 |
+$1,517.34 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $401.55 | 34 | $13,652.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $423.13 | 34 | $14,386.25 | $14,489.57 |
+$733.55 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $449.54 | 32 | $14,385.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $474.45 | 32 | $15,182.56 | $15,287.01 |
+$797.44 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $475.27 | 32 | $15,208.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $499.12 | 32 | $15,971.84 | $16,050.05 |
+$763.04 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 31 | $15,570.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 31 | $16,349.40 | $16,829.08 |
+$779.03 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $510.53 | 32 | $16,336.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $537.09 | 32 | $17,187.04 | $17,679.32 |
+$850.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $629.81 | 28 | $17,634.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $662.80 | 28 | $18,558.40 | $18,603.04 |
+$923.72 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,603.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,603.04
Total Return:
+86.03%