Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:16:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 32.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

16
+3.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,595
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,842.13
Current Value
$16,536.91
Period P&L
$6,694.72
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
29 / 28
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-8.02%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,586,957.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,694.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,694.72
Gross Return
+68.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+68.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 57 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,842.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:50am ET $3.93 2,543 $9,993.99
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $4.25 2,543 $10,803.43 $10,804.19 +$809.44
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:45am ET $4.07 2,657 $10,800.71
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:10pm ET $3.94 2,657 $10,465.39 $10,468.88 $-335.31
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $3.66 2,860 $10,467.60
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 10:45am ET $3.54 2,860 $10,131.26 $10,132.54 $-336.34
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET $3.39 2,988 $10,129.62
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:50am ET $3.57 2,988 $10,667.16 $10,670.09 +$537.54
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET $3.61 2,955 $10,667.55
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $3.80 2,955 $11,232.55 $11,235.08 +$565.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:40am ET $3.65 3,082 $11,233.89
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $3.54 3,082 $10,894.87 $10,896.06 $-339.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 10:45am ET $3.47 3,140 $10,895.80
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 11:00am ET $3.66 3,140 $11,498.37 $11,498.63 +$602.57
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 11:35am ET $3.91 2,944 $11,496.32
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $4.16 2,944 $12,245.27 $12,247.58 +$748.95
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $4.08 3,000 $12,243.60
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 9:50am ET $4.29 3,000 $12,870.00 $12,873.98 +$626.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 11:05am ET $4.40 2,925 $12,870.00
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 10:00am ET $4.63 2,925 $13,528.13 $13,532.11 +$658.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 10:55am ET $5.04 2,684 $13,530.58
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $4.85 2,684 $13,017.40 $13,018.93 $-513.18
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET $4.57 2,848 $13,015.36
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 11:25am ET $4.81 2,848 $13,698.88 $13,702.45 +$683.52
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $4.82 2,840 $13,698.74
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 10:50am ET $4.66 2,840 $13,234.68 $13,238.39 $-464.06
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:50am ET $4.51 2,938 $13,235.69
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET $4.80 2,938 $14,087.71 $14,090.41 +$852.02
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET $4.71 2,994 $14,086.77
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET $4.51 2,994 $13,502.94 $13,506.58 $-583.83
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:45am ET $4.46 3,031 $13,503.11
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:35am ET $4.71 3,031 $14,260.86 $14,264.33 +$757.75
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 11:15am ET $6.32 2,256 $14,258.60
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $6.11 2,256 $13,772.88 $13,778.61 $-485.72
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 9:30am ET $6.57 2,097 $13,774.48
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 3:10pm ET $6.37 2,097 $13,357.89 $13,362.02 $-416.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 11:05am ET $6.29 2,124 $13,360.38
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 3:45pm ET $6.61 2,124 $14,033.69 $14,035.33 +$673.31
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $6.13 2,291 $14,032.38
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET $5.94 2,291 $13,608.54 $13,611.50 $-423.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $5.64 2,415 $13,608.53
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET $5.92 2,415 $14,296.56 $14,299.53 +$688.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:45am ET $6.48 2,206 $14,297.53
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 12:20pm ET $6.82 2,206 $15,044.92 $15,046.92 +$747.39
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:45am ET $7.13 2,111 $15,046.57
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:40pm ET $6.91 2,111 $14,587.01 $14,587.36 $-459.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:40am ET $7.22 2,020 $14,587.23
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET $7.00 2,020 $14,132.53 $14,132.66 $-454.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 10:20am ET $6.94 2,036 $14,129.84
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $7.42 2,036 $15,109.56 $15,112.38 +$979.72
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:55am ET $7.69 1,966 $15,108.71
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 9:45am ET $7.42 1,966 $14,577.89 $14,581.56 $-530.82
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $7.59 1,921 $14,580.20
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $7.28 1,921 $13,984.88 $13,986.24 $-595.32
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 2,022 $13,982.13
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $6.53 2,022 $13,203.86 $13,207.97 $-778.27
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $6.57 2,011 $13,202.22
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:50am ET $6.90 2,011 $13,867.25 $13,873.01 +$665.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:50am ET $6.83 2,031 $13,869.29
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $7.19 2,031 $14,599.84 $14,603.56 +$730.55
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $6.87 2,125 $14,601.30
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 3:15pm ET $7.23 2,125 $15,353.13 $15,355.39 +$751.82
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $7.10 2,164 $15,353.58
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET $7.46 2,164 $16,143.44 $16,145.25 +$789.86
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:40am ET $6.83 2,363 $16,139.29
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $6.63 2,363 $15,654.88 $15,660.83 $-484.42
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET $6.27 2,497 $15,656.94
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $6.06 2,497 $15,142.56 $15,146.45 $-514.38
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:35am ET $5.92 2,560 $15,142.40
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.73 2,560 $14,669.31 $14,673.36 $-473.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $5.48 2,677 $14,670.50
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $5.78 2,677 $15,473.06 $15,475.93 +$802.56
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $5.50 2,816 $15,473.92
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $5.31 2,816 $14,938.88 $14,940.89 $-535.04
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET $5.27 2,835 $14,940.45
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 9:55am ET $5.10 2,835 $14,457.37 $14,457.80 $-483.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:55am ET $4.91 2,944 $14,455.04
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:35am ET $4.76 2,944 $13,998.72 $14,001.48 $-456.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $4.93 2,839 $13,996.55
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $5.18 2,839 $14,715.96 $14,720.88 +$719.40
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:35am ET $5.60 2,626 $14,716.89
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 2,626 $13,537.03 $13,541.02 $-1,179.86
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.97 2,727 $13,539.56
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $4.82 2,727 $13,130.51 $13,131.97 $-409.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $4.77 2,751 $13,130.25
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 2,751 $12,613.34 $12,615.06 $-516.91
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $4.55 2,773 $12,611.05
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $4.83 2,773 $13,399.14 $13,403.15 +$788.09
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $4.66 2,876 $13,402.16
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $4.94 2,876 $14,195.94 $14,196.92 +$793.78
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:50am ET $4.78 2,969 $14,192.71
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 2,969 $13,449.57 $13,453.78 $-743.14
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $4.60 2,924 $13,450.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $4.83 2,924 $14,122.92 $14,126.30 +$672.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 2,967 $14,122.03
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $5.00 2,967 $14,833.81 $14,838.09 +$711.78
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $4.74 3,129 $14,837.72
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $4.51 3,129 $14,127.43 $14,127.81 $-710.28
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.72 2,993 $14,126.96
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $4.96 2,993 $14,847.08 $14,847.93 +$720.12
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $5.55 2,675 $14,846.25
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $5.84 2,675 $15,622.00 $15,623.68 +$775.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 2,736 $15,622.56
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $5.51 2,736 $15,089.04 $15,090.16 $-533.52
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $5.47 2,761 $15,088.87
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $5.80 2,761 $16,000.00 $16,001.29 +$911.13
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $6.08 2,631 $15,996.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 2,631 $16,917.33 $16,922.14 +$920.85
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $6.26 2,701 $16,921.76
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $6.04 2,701 $16,313.77 $16,314.14 $-608.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $6.32 2,581 $16,311.92
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $6.64 2,581 $17,150.74 $17,152.96 +$838.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $6.17 2,780 $17,152.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $5.95 2,780 $16,536.55 $16,536.91 $-616.05
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,536.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,536.91
Total Return: +65.37%
Back to Danny Dip