ORCL Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 41 trades in period
+15.53%
Last Year Return
$10,730.48
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,288.26
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
14.5/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 13.1
30-Day Momentum
26
+7.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.8
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,032
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,288.26
Current Value
$10,730.48
Period P&L
$1,442.21
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 /
23
Best Trade
+8.62%
Worst Trade
-5.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$815,424.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,442.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,442.21
Gross Return
+15.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,288.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $230.68 | 40 | $9,227.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $243.62 | 40 | $9,744.80 | $9,805.87 |
+$517.60 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $235.90 | 41 | $9,671.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $250.68 | 41 | $10,277.88 | $10,411.85 |
+$605.98 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.43 | 42 | $10,349.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.84 | 42 | $10,367.28 | $10,429.28 |
+$17.43 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $240.16 | 43 | $10,326.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 3:00pm ET | $232.62 | 43 | $10,002.66 | $10,105.06 |
$-324.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $233.86 | 43 | $10,055.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 10:40am ET | $226.02 | 43 | $9,718.86 | $9,767.94 |
$-337.12 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 2:15pm ET | $326.86 | 29 | $9,478.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $315.19 | 29 | $9,140.51 | $9,429.48 |
$-338.46 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $300.47 | 31 | $9,314.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $316.69 | 31 | $9,817.39 | $9,932.30 |
+$502.82 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $318.00 | 31 | $9,858.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $304.68 | 31 | $9,445.08 | $9,519.32 |
$-412.98 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $291.13 | 32 | $9,316.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $282.12 | 32 | $9,027.84 | $9,230.87 |
$-288.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $271.93 | 33 | $8,973.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $287.71 | 33 | $9,494.43 | $9,751.61 |
+$520.74 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $297.07 | 32 | $9,506.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $311.94 | 32 | $9,982.08 | $10,227.46 |
+$475.85 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 10:20am ET | $293.27 | 34 | $9,971.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $283.38 | 34 | $9,634.92 | $9,891.20 |
$-336.26 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $274.75 | 36 | $9,891.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $266.02 | 36 | $9,576.72 | $9,576.92 |
$-314.28 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $250.07 | 38 | $9,502.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $240.70 | 38 | $9,146.60 | $9,220.86 |
$-356.06 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $235.81 | 39 | $9,196.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $228.72 | 39 | $8,920.08 | $8,944.54 |
$-276.32 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $219.40 | 40 | $8,776.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $232.62 | 40 | $9,304.80 | $9,473.34 |
+$528.80 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $205.55 | 46 | $9,455.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $199.22 | 46 | $9,164.12 | $9,182.16 |
$-291.18 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $190.46 | 48 | $9,142.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $206.88 | 48 | $9,930.24 | $9,970.32 |
+$788.16 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $199.21 | 50 | $9,960.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $210.71 | 50 | $10,535.50 | $10,545.32 |
+$575.00 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $189.08 | 55 | $10,399.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $198.63 | 55 | $10,924.65 | $11,070.57 |
+$525.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $184.09 | 60 | $11,045.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $178.40 | 60 | $10,704.00 | $10,729.17 |
$-341.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.32 | 56 | $10,545.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $197.86 | 56 | $11,080.16 | $11,263.41 |
+$534.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $196.25 | 57 | $11,186.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $189.99 | 57 | $10,829.15 | $10,906.17 |
$-357.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.35 | 58 | $10,750.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.73 | 58 | $10,250.34 | $10,406.21 |
$-499.96 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.12 | 60 | $10,386.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.01 | 60 | $10,980.60 | $10,999.91 |
+$593.70 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $176.44 | 62 | $10,939.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.46 | 62 | $10,382.21 | $10,442.84 |
$-557.07 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.76 | 66 | $10,412.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $152.77 | 66 | $10,083.15 | $10,113.83 |
$-329.01 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $143.65 | 70 | $10,055.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $138.87 | 70 | $9,720.90 | $9,779.57 |
$-334.25 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $154.95 | 63 | $9,761.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $150.21 | 63 | $9,463.19 | $9,480.91 |
$-298.66 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $146.71 | 64 | $9,389.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $142.29 | 64 | $9,106.24 | $9,197.71 |
$-283.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.08 | 63 | $9,140.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $152.38 | 63 | $9,599.94 | $9,657.61 |
+$459.90 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $151.16 | 63 | $9,523.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $158.84 | 63 | $10,006.92 | $10,141.45 |
+$483.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $165.12 | 61 | $10,072.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $160.14 | 61 | $9,768.54 | $9,837.67 |
$-303.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $151.00 | 65 | $9,815.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $146.34 | 65 | $9,511.89 | $9,534.56 |
$-303.11 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $138.96 | 68 | $9,449.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET | $145.96 | 68 | $9,925.28 | $10,010.56 |
+$476.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.09 | 70 | $9,876.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.00 | 70 | $10,570.00 | $10,704.26 |
+$693.70 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $139.66 | 76 | $10,614.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $135.20 | 76 | $10,275.20 | $10,365.30 |
$-338.96 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $163.10 | 63 | $10,275.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $171.95 | 63 | $10,832.82 | $10,922.82 |
+$557.52 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.80 | 60 | $10,788.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $174.30 | 60 | $10,458.00 | $10,592.82 |
$-330.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $168.42 | 62 | $10,442.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.43 | 62 | $10,070.66 | $10,221.44 |
$-371.38 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.09 | 63 | $10,148.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $169.17 | 63 | $10,657.71 | $10,730.48 |
+$509.04 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,730.48
Net Profit/Loss:
+$730.48
Total Return:
+7.30%