Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.9/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 39.9/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 31.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
32,669
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,889.52
Current Value
$12,657.39
Period P&L
$1,767.89
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
11 / 9
Best Trade
+7.84%
Worst Trade
-10.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.91%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$486,622.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,767.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,767.89
Gross Return
+16.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,889.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:55am ET $39.02 277 $10,808.54
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:20am ET $41.05 277 $11,370.85 $11,390.87 +$562.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:55am ET $42.58 267 $11,368.86
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:05pm ET $41.30 267 $11,027.10 $11,049.11 $-341.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:20am ET $45.56 242 $11,025.47
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 1:50pm ET $44.16 242 $10,686.72 $10,710.36 $-338.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 10:20am ET $45.03 237 $10,672.11
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 11:40am ET $43.66 237 $10,347.42 $10,385.67 $-324.69
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET $42.72 243 $10,380.96
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:35am ET $44.88 243 $10,905.86 $10,910.57 +$524.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 10:20am ET $46.52 234 $10,885.68
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 9:55am ET $45.04 234 $10,538.38 $10,563.27 $-347.30
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET $46.63 226 $10,538.38
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:10am ET $45.12 226 $10,197.12 $10,222.01 $-341.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $41.22 248 $10,221.32
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $42.41 248 $10,518.42 $10,519.11 +$297.10
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:20am ET $38.94 270 $10,512.45
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:35am ET $40.90 270 $11,042.97 $11,049.64 +$530.52
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $41.22 268 $11,046.96
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.34 268 $11,613.78 $11,616.46 +$566.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $43.18 269 $11,615.42
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $46.56 269 $12,525.72 $12,526.75 +$910.30
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $43.93 285 $12,520.05
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:45am ET $46.20 285 $13,167.00 $13,173.70 +$646.95
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $45.24 291 $13,166.29
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $46.69 291 $13,588.24 $13,595.65 +$421.95
(+3.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $53.24 255 $13,576.20
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $56.71 255 $14,459.78 $14,479.23 +$883.58
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.47 247 $14,442.09
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $61.88 247 $15,284.36 $15,321.50 +$842.27
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $64.73 236 $15,275.69
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $62.75 236 $14,809.00 $14,854.81 $-466.69
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $63.89 232 $14,822.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $57.00 232 $13,224.00 $13,256.33 $-1,598.48
(-10.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.83 225 $13,236.75
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.96 225 $12,816.00 $12,835.58 $-420.75
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $53.44 240 $12,825.60
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $56.16 240 $13,478.40 $13,488.38 +$652.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
20 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $58.50 230 $13,455.69
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.89 230 $12,624.70 $12,657.39 $-830.99
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,657.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,657.39
Total Return: +26.57%
Back to Danny Dip