PLTR Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 44 trades in period
-1.38%
Last Year Return
$45,967.66
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$46,610.12
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
70
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.2/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
70.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 69.8
30-Day Momentum
10
+1.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.6
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-60 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,713
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$46,610.12
Current Value
$45,967.66
Period P&L
$-642.44
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
17 /
27
Best Trade
+5.84%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$4,472,784.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-642.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-642.44
Gross Return
-1.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $46,610.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $115.45 | 403 | $46,526.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.19 | 403 | $49,242.57 | $49,326.33 |
+$2,716.22 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 10:30am ET | $125.96 | 391 | $49,248.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET | $121.56 | 391 | $47,529.96 | $47,607.89 |
$-1,718.45 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 12:30pm ET | $121.07 | 393 | $47,580.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $127.63 | 393 | $50,156.63 | $50,183.88 |
+$2,576.00 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $129.78 | 386 | $50,095.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 12:45pm ET | $124.78 | 386 | $48,165.12 | $48,254.00 |
$-1,929.88 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $136.59 | 353 | $48,216.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:15pm ET | $143.51 | 353 | $50,660.44 | $50,698.17 |
+$2,444.17 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 10:40am ET | $143.38 | 353 | $50,613.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $138.89 | 353 | $49,026.41 | $49,111.44 |
$-1,586.74 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $133.32 | 368 | $49,061.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $129.12 | 368 | $47,516.16 | $47,565.84 |
$-1,545.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 11:10am ET | $140.23 | 339 | $47,537.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 1:30pm ET | $147.55 | 339 | $50,019.45 | $50,047.32 |
+$2,481.48 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $147.19 | 340 | $50,044.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $154.62 | 340 | $52,570.46 | $52,573.18 |
+$2,525.86 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.53 | 344 | $52,470.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 12:45pm ET | $160.16 | 344 | $55,095.11 | $55,197.96 |
+$2,624.79 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 12:10pm ET | $179.35 | 307 | $55,060.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $173.35 | 307 | $53,216.92 | $53,354.34 |
$-1,843.63 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 9:55am ET | $164.57 | 324 | $53,320.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 12:50pm ET | $159.56 | 324 | $51,697.44 | $51,731.10 |
$-1,623.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.98 | 342 | $51,635.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 2:10pm ET | $158.57 | 342 | $54,230.46 | $54,326.40 |
+$2,595.30 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.02 | 357 | $54,271.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $159.98 | 357 | $57,112.86 | $57,168.12 |
+$2,841.72 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $152.53 | 374 | $57,047.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 11:50am ET | $160.17 | 374 | $59,903.58 | $60,024.54 |
+$2,856.43 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 10:25am ET | $164.86 | 364 | $60,009.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $174.02 | 364 | $63,343.28 | $63,358.78 |
+$3,334.24 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $175.03 | 361 | $63,184.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:20am ET | $184.27 | 361 | $66,521.47 | $66,696.23 |
+$3,337.45 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $180.33 | 369 | $66,541.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $174.09 | 369 | $64,239.21 | $64,393.67 |
$-2,302.56 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $180.12 | 357 | $64,302.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $173.99 | 357 | $62,114.43 | $62,205.26 |
$-2,188.41 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 12:25pm ET | $178.20 | 349 | $62,191.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 11:20am ET | $171.49 | 349 | $59,850.01 | $59,863.47 |
$-2,341.79 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $188.05 | 318 | $59,799.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:10am ET | $182.30 | 318 | $57,971.37 | $58,034.94 |
$-1,828.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $187.76 | 309 | $58,017.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $181.98 | 309 | $56,231.82 | $56,248.92 |
$-1,786.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 11:00am ET | $174.50 | 322 | $56,189.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $166.72 | 322 | $53,683.84 | $53,743.76 |
$-2,505.16 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $170.34 | 315 | $53,657.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $165.21 | 315 | $52,041.15 | $52,127.81 |
$-1,615.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET | $159.76 | 326 | $52,081.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $154.63 | 326 | $50,409.38 | $50,455.43 |
$-1,672.38 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $159.34 | 316 | $50,351.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 12:40pm ET | $167.38 | 316 | $52,890.50 | $52,994.49 |
+$2,539.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $182.83 | 289 | $52,836.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:50pm ET | $177.19 | 289 | $51,207.91 | $51,365.68 |
$-1,628.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $173.00 | 296 | $51,206.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $167.66 | 296 | $49,626.95 | $49,786.11 |
$-1,579.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $178.42 | 279 | $49,779.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $172.93 | 279 | $48,247.47 | $48,254.40 |
$-1,531.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $164.05 | 294 | $48,230.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:35pm ET | $158.75 | 294 | $46,673.24 | $46,696.93 |
$-1,557.47 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $154.51 | 302 | $46,662.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.76 | 302 | $45,227.52 | $45,262.43 |
$-1,434.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $135.41 | 334 | $45,226.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $131.31 | 334 | $43,856.77 | $43,892.26 |
$-1,370.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.38 | 331 | $43,817.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $128.12 | 331 | $42,407.72 | $42,482.20 |
$-1,410.06 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $140.85 | 301 | $42,397.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.42 | 301 | $44,674.42 | $44,759.60 |
+$2,277.40 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.96 | 286 | $44,604.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $151.13 | 286 | $43,224.61 | $43,379.65 |
$-1,379.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $149.38 | 290 | $43,320.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.73 | 290 | $45,741.70 | $45,801.15 |
+$2,421.50 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $155.92 | 293 | $45,684.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.21 | 293 | $44,011.53 | $44,128.12 |
$-1,673.03 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $142.74 | 309 | $44,106.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $138.35 | 309 | $42,750.15 | $42,771.61 |
$-1,356.51 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.76 | 301 | $42,669.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $149.90 | 301 | $45,119.90 | $45,221.72 |
+$2,450.11 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.38 | 304 | $45,107.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $143.82 | 304 | $43,721.28 | $43,835.48 |
$-1,386.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $125.92 | 348 | $43,820.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $132.77 | 348 | $46,205.70 | $46,220.98 |
+$2,385.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.74 | 312 | $46,096.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $143.29 | 312 | $44,706.48 | $44,831.11 |
$-1,389.87 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $136.16 | 329 | $44,796.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 329 | $47,359.55 | $47,394.02 |
+$2,562.91 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.93 | 338 | $47,294.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $135.71 | 338 | $45,868.29 | $45,967.66 |
$-1,426.36 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$45,967.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$35,967.66
Total Return:
+359.68%