Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:05:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.8/10
Raw Quality 2.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,921
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$5,186.35
Current Value
$3,869.24
Period P&L
$-1,317.08
Max Drawdown
-55.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
20 / 37
Best Trade
+5.56%
Worst Trade
-4.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$567,369.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,317.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,317.08
Gross Return
-25.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-25.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 57 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,186.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:35am ET $13.55 385 $5,216.75
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:45am ET $13.11 385 $5,047.47 $5,051.70 $-169.28
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 12:30pm ET $14.16 356 $5,039.18
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:00am ET $14.89 356 $5,299.06 $5,311.58 +$259.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $14.49 366 $5,301.51
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 10:00am ET $15.29 366 $5,596.14 $5,606.21 +$294.63
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $15.32 366 $5,605.29
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $16.09 366 $5,887.11 $5,888.03 +$281.82
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $15.57 378 $5,885.46
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:40am ET $15.05 378 $5,687.01 $5,689.58 $-198.45
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 12:35pm ET $15.05 378 $5,687.01
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $14.59 378 $5,515.02 $5,517.59 $-171.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 9:55am ET $13.96 395 $5,515.46
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:55am ET $13.54 395 $5,347.43 $5,349.55 $-168.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 9:30am ET $13.40 399 $5,344.61
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:20am ET $14.09 399 $5,619.92 $5,624.86 +$275.31
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET $13.28 423 $5,615.33
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 3:40pm ET $12.86 423 $5,437.67 $5,447.20 $-177.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $12.71 428 $5,437.74
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 10:05am ET $12.32 428 $5,272.15 $5,281.61 $-165.59
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $14.06 375 $5,270.63
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $13.59 375 $5,097.68 $5,108.66 $-172.95
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:10am ET $13.37 382 $5,108.22
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 9:40am ET $12.92 382 $4,933.53 $4,933.97 $-174.69
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $12.60 391 $4,926.60
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:20am ET $12.22 391 $4,778.02 $4,785.39 $-148.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:20am ET $11.83 404 $4,778.31
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:35pm ET $12.44 404 $5,027.50 $5,034.58 +$249.19
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 10:40am ET $11.91 422 $5,023.91
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET $12.52 422 $5,281.33 $5,292.00 +$257.42
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 10:10am ET $13.35 396 $5,284.62
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:35am ET $14.03 396 $5,553.90 $5,561.28 +$269.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:35am ET $14.20 391 $5,552.20
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:05am ET $13.74 391 $5,373.71 $5,382.79 $-178.49
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET $14.04 383 $5,377.32
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:35am ET $13.59 383 $5,203.25 $5,208.71 $-174.07
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $14.14 368 $5,201.72
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $14.85 368 $5,464.80 $5,471.80 +$263.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $15.42 354 $5,458.72
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:55am ET $14.91 354 $5,276.37 $5,289.45 $-182.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $13.46 392 $5,276.32
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $12.99 392 $5,092.20 $5,105.33 $-184.12
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $12.70 402 $5,104.07
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:40am ET $13.37 402 $5,374.74 $5,376.00 +$270.67
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:15am ET $12.69 423 $5,367.87
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:20am ET $13.39 423 $5,664.94 $5,673.07 +$297.07
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $13.23 428 $5,662.44
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $12.69 428 $5,429.18 $5,439.81 $-233.26
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $15.34 354 $5,430.36
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:50am ET $14.87 354 $5,262.21 $5,271.66 $-168.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:50am ET $14.73 358 $5,271.55
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:25am ET $15.52 358 $5,556.16 $5,556.27 +$284.61
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $17.40 319 $5,549.01
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET $16.80 319 $5,357.64 $5,364.90 $-191.37
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:15am ET $17.09 314 $5,364.69
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:00pm ET $16.51 314 $5,182.57 $5,182.78 $-182.12
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $15.31 338 $5,174.78
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $14.58 338 $4,929.22 $4,937.22 $-245.56
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $14.71 335 $4,927.85
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $15.52 335 $5,197.53 $5,206.90 +$269.68
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:40am ET $14.55 357 $5,194.31
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $14.06 357 $5,017.64 $5,030.22 $-176.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
32 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $16.98 296 $5,027.44
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $17.87 296 $5,288.04 $5,290.82 +$260.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $17.52 302 $5,290.25
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $16.97 302 $5,123.43 $5,123.99 $-166.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:05am ET $18.89 271 $5,117.84
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $18.26 271 $4,948.46 $4,954.62 $-169.38
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:20am ET $18.46 268 $4,947.28
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $19.43 268 $5,205.90 $5,213.24 +$258.62
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $21.46 242 $5,193.32
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:45am ET $20.77 242 $5,026.34 $5,046.26 $-166.98
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $20.23 249 $5,037.27
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:00am ET $19.43 249 $4,838.07 $4,847.06 $-199.20
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $19.89 243 $4,832.69
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $19.17 243 $4,658.31 $4,672.68 $-174.38
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $19.20 243 $4,665.60
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $20.21 243 $4,912.12 $4,919.20 +$246.52
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $20.14 244 $4,912.94
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:00am ET $19.48 244 $4,751.90 $4,758.16 $-161.04
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.88 266 $4,754.75
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET $17.32 266 $4,605.79 $4,609.20 $-148.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $15.95 289 $4,608.11
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $16.76 289 $4,842.20 $4,843.29 +$234.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $15.31 316 $4,836.38
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET $14.84 316 $4,689.44 $4,696.35 $-146.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $14.30 328 $4,690.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $13.87 328 $4,549.36 $4,555.31 $-141.04
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.48 314 $4,546.72
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.70 314 $4,617.37 $4,625.96 +$70.65
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.37 266 $4,620.42
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $16.84 266 $4,480.77 $4,486.31 $-139.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
47 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $16.39 273 $4,473.11
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $15.78 273 $4,307.94 $4,321.14 $-165.17
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $15.10 286 $4,320.03
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $14.64 286 $4,187.04 $4,188.15 $-132.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET $15.16 276 $4,184.16
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $15.93 276 $4,395.30 $4,399.29 +$211.14
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $16.19 271 $4,386.16
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $15.68 271 $4,247.93 $4,261.05 $-138.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $16.36 260 $4,253.60
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $15.59 260 $4,052.10 $4,059.55 $-201.50
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
52 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.04 269 $4,045.73
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET $15.84 269 $4,260.96 $4,274.78 +$215.23
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
53 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $15.88 269 $4,270.38
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $15.38 269 $4,137.22 $4,141.63 $-133.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.16 273 $4,140.04
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $14.66 273 $4,002.18 $4,003.76 $-137.87
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $15.98 250 $3,995.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:25am ET $16.78 250 $4,194.97 $4,203.74 +$199.98
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:15am ET $17.16 244 $4,187.04
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $16.62 244 $4,055.04 $4,071.74 $-132.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $16.28 250 $4,070.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 250 $3,867.50 $3,869.24 $-202.50
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,869.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,130.76
Total Return: -61.31%
Back to Danny Dip