Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

5
+0.7%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.5 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,174
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$5,945.31
Current Value
$4,209.83
Period P&L
$-1,735.48
Max Drawdown
-80.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
68
Winners / Losers
25 / 43
Best Trade
+8.52%
Worst Trade
-16.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$628,417.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,735.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,735.48
Gross Return
-29.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 68 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,945.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $32.72 186 $6,084.99
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $31.19 186 $5,801.34 $5,828.14 $-283.65
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:30am ET $33.57 173 $5,807.61
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:40am ET $35.84 173 $6,200.32 $6,220.85 +$392.71
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 9:40am ET $44.17 140 $6,184.29
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 10:10am ET $42.70 140 $5,978.01 $6,014.57 $-206.28
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:40am ET $46.00 130 $5,980.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $44.15 130 $5,738.85 $5,773.42 $-241.15
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $42.53 135 $5,740.93
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:40am ET $41.23 135 $5,566.05 $5,598.54 $-174.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:40am ET $39.88 140 $5,583.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:55am ET $41.90 140 $5,866.01 $5,881.35 +$282.81
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 9:55am ET $41.02 143 $5,865.15
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 9:30am ET $43.96 143 $6,286.28 $6,302.49 +$421.14
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
8 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:40am ET $39.77 158 $6,283.66
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:00am ET $41.77 158 $6,598.92 $6,617.75 +$315.26
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:00am ET $43.13 153 $6,598.89
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 12:50pm ET $41.70 153 $6,379.34 $6,398.19 $-219.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $43.15 148 $6,386.75
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:50am ET $41.80 148 $6,186.40 $6,197.84 $-200.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 11:00am ET $44.49 139 $6,184.11
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $42.26 139 $5,874.14 $5,887.87 $-309.97
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 11:05am ET $45.25 130 $5,882.50
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:00am ET $48.14 130 $6,258.20 $6,263.57 +$375.70
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:05am ET $48.13 130 $6,256.90
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET $46.43 130 $6,035.90 $6,042.57 $-221.00
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $47.52 127 $6,035.14
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 3:05pm ET $49.97 127 $6,346.19 $6,353.62 +$311.05
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET $50.07 126 $6,308.81
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $52.64 126 $6,632.01 $6,676.83 +$323.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 11:15am ET $59.39 112 $6,651.23
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $57.03 112 $6,386.80 $6,412.39 $-264.43
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:40am ET $57.11 112 $6,396.32
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $47.75 112 $5,347.44 $5,363.51 $-1,048.88
(-16.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 10:50am ET $46.96 114 $5,353.45
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 10:15am ET $45.53 114 $5,190.42 $5,200.48 $-163.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 10:10am ET $44.82 116 $5,198.54
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 3:40pm ET $43.42 116 $5,036.72 $5,038.66 $-161.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $42.18 119 $5,019.42
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $39.98 119 $4,757.62 $4,776.86 $-261.80
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $43.89 108 $4,740.12
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $46.11 108 $4,979.88 $5,016.62 +$239.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 2:40pm ET $46.94 106 $4,975.64
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $44.89 106 $4,758.34 $4,799.32 $-217.30
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:35am ET $45.50 105 $4,777.10
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:55am ET $48.04 105 $5,044.20 $5,066.42 +$267.10
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $51.19 98 $5,016.60
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $54.16 98 $5,307.90 $5,357.72 +$291.30
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 10:45am ET $55.47 96 $5,325.12
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:45am ET $53.78 96 $5,162.88 $5,195.48 $-162.24
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $56.23 92 $5,173.55
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $53.80 92 $4,949.14 $4,971.07 $-224.41
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $54.02 92 $4,969.84
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $52.37 92 $4,817.95 $4,819.18 $-151.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET $53.03 90 $4,772.70
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:10am ET $51.38 90 $4,624.20 $4,670.68 $-148.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 11:10am ET $48.89 95 $4,644.08
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:55am ET $51.38 95 $4,880.76 $4,907.36 +$236.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:35am ET $51.31 95 $4,874.45
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $47.90 95 $4,550.50 $4,583.41 $-323.95
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $45.29 101 $4,574.29
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:40am ET $43.85 101 $4,428.85 $4,437.97 $-145.44
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:35am ET $41.01 108 $4,428.54
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.65 108 $4,282.71 $4,292.14 $-145.83
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET $40.13 106 $4,253.56
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $38.88 106 $4,121.28 $4,159.86 $-132.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $36.85 112 $4,127.20
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET $35.73 112 $4,001.76 $4,034.42 $-125.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $35.36 114 $4,031.04
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:30pm ET $34.29 114 $3,908.49 $3,911.87 $-122.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $34.52 113 $3,900.76
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $33.43 113 $3,777.59 $3,788.70 $-123.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:35pm ET $32.30 117 $3,779.10
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $31.12 117 $3,641.04 $3,650.64 $-138.06
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $32.36 112 $3,623.76
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $31.31 112 $3,506.72 $3,533.60 $-117.04
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:35am ET $32.71 108 $3,532.68
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET $34.36 108 $3,710.34 $3,711.26 +$177.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $33.74 109 $3,677.67
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $32.63 109 $3,556.67 $3,590.26 $-121.00
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $30.76 116 $3,568.16
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $29.83 116 $3,460.29 $3,482.39 $-107.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $30.83 112 $3,452.62
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $29.90 112 $3,348.80 $3,378.57 $-103.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $29.20 115 $3,357.43
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $28.23 115 $3,245.88 $3,267.02 $-111.55
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET $31.16 104 $3,240.12
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $32.79 104 $3,409.64 $3,436.54 +$169.52
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $31.25 109 $3,406.36
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $32.93 109 $3,589.37 $3,619.55 +$183.01
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET $32.09 112 $3,594.33
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $30.88 112 $3,458.56 $3,483.78 $-135.77
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $30.02 116 $3,482.32
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $31.67 116 $3,674.13 $3,675.59 +$191.81
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $30.51 120 $3,661.20
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $29.59 120 $3,550.80 $3,565.19 $-110.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:05pm ET $29.91 119 $3,558.70
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $29.01 119 $3,451.74 $3,458.23 $-106.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $32.52 106 $3,447.12
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $34.26 106 $3,631.56 $3,642.67 +$184.44
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $30.36 119 $3,613.16
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $32.95 119 $3,921.05 $3,950.56 +$307.89
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $33.40 118 $3,941.79
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.47 118 $3,950.05 $3,958.82 +$8.26
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $29.67 133 $3,946.63
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $31.25 133 $4,156.25 $4,168.44 +$209.62
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $31.80 131 $4,166.40
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $30.73 131 $4,025.63 $4,027.67 $-140.77
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
55 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $32.47 124 $4,026.28
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $31.32 124 $3,883.68 $3,885.07 $-142.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.88 125 $3,860.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:30am ET $29.94 125 $3,742.50 $3,767.57 $-117.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.17 117 $3,764.47
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $31.17 117 $3,647.38 $3,650.48 $-117.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $31.01 117 $3,628.17
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $32.58 117 $3,811.28 $3,833.58 +$183.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $22.07 173 $3,817.25
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $21.33 173 $3,690.95 $3,707.29 $-126.29
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $21.30 174 $3,706.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.40 174 $3,896.73 $3,897.82 +$190.53
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
61 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 166 $3,886.06
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $22.65 166 $3,759.90 $3,771.66 $-126.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $21.20 177 $3,753.28
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $22.36 177 $3,957.72 $3,976.10 +$204.44
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $21.95 181 $3,972.95
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $23.09 181 $4,179.24 $4,182.39 +$206.29
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $22.57 185 $4,175.45
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $21.83 185 $4,037.63 $4,044.57 $-137.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
65 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $22.97 176 $4,042.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.22 176 $4,262.72 $4,264.57 +$220.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 160 $4,241.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $27.98 160 $4,476.80 $4,499.77 +$235.20
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
67 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $28.42 158 $4,490.38
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $27.54 158 $4,351.32 $4,360.71 $-139.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
68 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $26.58 164 $4,359.12
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $25.66 164 $4,208.24 $4,209.83 $-150.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,209.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,790.17
Total Return: -57.90%
Back to Danny Dip