SQQQ Danny Dip's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 46 trades in period
-24.47%
Last Year Return
$10,074.88
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$13,338.36
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
5.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 5.8
30-Day Momentum
2
-15.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,893
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,338.36
Current Value
$10,074.88
Period P&L
$-3,263.50
Max Drawdown
-33.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
14 /
32
Best Trade
+8.80%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,106,288.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,263.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,263.50
Gross Return
-24.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.47%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,338.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 3:40pm ET | $147.25 | 90 | $13,252.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 11:30am ET | $142.75 | 90 | $12,847.50 | $12,933.39 |
$-405.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $129.75 | 99 | $12,845.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $125.03 | 99 | $12,377.48 | $12,465.67 |
$-467.73 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $119.92 | 103 | $12,351.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $127.00 | 103 | $13,081.00 | $13,195.16 |
+$729.50 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $121.20 | 108 | $13,089.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 12:35pm ET | $117.36 | 108 | $12,675.31 | $12,780.87 |
$-414.29 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $114.63 | 111 | $12,723.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $120.46 | 111 | $13,370.62 | $13,428.12 |
+$647.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $111.98 | 119 | $13,325.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $108.37 | 119 | $12,895.44 | $12,998.53 |
$-429.59 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $110.75 | 117 | $12,957.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $107.25 | 117 | $12,548.25 | $12,589.20 |
$-409.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 9:35am ET | $102.43 | 122 | $12,495.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 10:00am ET | $99.14 | 122 | $12,095.57 | $12,188.92 |
$-400.28 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $95.73 | 127 | $12,157.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $94.29 | 127 | $11,974.51 | $12,006.36 |
$-182.56 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.33 | 135 | $11,923.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.10 | 135 | $12,973.50 | $13,055.98 |
+$1,049.63 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $94.50 | 138 | $13,041.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 9:35am ET | $91.66 | 138 | $12,649.08 | $12,663.99 |
$-391.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $88.08 | 143 | $12,594.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 12:45pm ET | $85.42 | 143 | $12,214.70 | $12,283.97 |
$-380.02 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 12:25pm ET | $91.98 | 133 | $12,232.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET | $88.80 | 133 | $11,810.20 | $11,861.50 |
$-422.47 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $90.50 | 131 | $11,855.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $87.63 | 131 | $11,479.99 | $11,485.92 |
$-375.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 3:25pm ET | $80.98 | 141 | $11,417.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 10:25am ET | $78.48 | 141 | $11,064.98 | $11,133.42 |
$-352.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $75.55 | 147 | $11,105.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:20pm ET | $73.23 | 147 | $10,764.08 | $10,791.64 |
$-341.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $76.68 | 140 | $10,734.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:55am ET | $74.23 | 140 | $10,392.76 | $10,449.90 |
$-341.74 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:35am ET | $73.23 | 142 | $10,397.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:10pm ET | $76.95 | 142 | $10,926.90 | $10,978.85 |
+$528.95 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $72.23 | 152 | $10,978.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:50pm ET | $75.89 | 152 | $11,534.82 | $11,535.48 |
+$556.62 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $69.81 | 165 | $11,518.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.30 | 165 | $11,104.50 | $11,121.08 |
$-414.40 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $64.50 | 172 | $11,094.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.17 | 172 | $11,724.38 | $11,751.37 |
+$630.29 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.70 | 171 | $11,747.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:15pm ET | $72.28 | 171 | $12,359.03 | $12,362.70 |
+$611.33 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:40am ET | $76.05 | 162 | $12,320.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $73.71 | 162 | $11,940.94 | $11,983.54 |
$-379.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.53 | 169 | $11,919.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $74.25 | 169 | $12,548.20 | $12,612.17 |
+$628.63 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $80.29 | 157 | $12,605.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 1:45pm ET | $77.23 | 157 | $12,125.11 | $12,131.76 |
$-480.40 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET | $72.19 | 168 | $12,127.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $69.97 | 168 | $11,754.96 | $11,759.09 |
$-372.67 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $67.21 | 174 | $11,694.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $70.77 | 174 | $12,313.98 | $12,378.51 |
+$619.42 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.76 | 172 | $12,342.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET | $69.42 | 172 | $11,940.22 | $11,976.01 |
$-402.50 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $66.11 | 181 | $11,965.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $69.58 | 181 | $12,593.98 | $12,604.08 |
+$628.07 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.96 | 194 | $12,601.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.17 | 194 | $13,419.21 | $13,421.56 |
+$817.48 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $68.77 | 195 | $13,410.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $66.61 | 195 | $12,988.95 | $13,000.36 |
$-421.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $65.10 | 199 | $12,954.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $63.09 | 199 | $12,553.92 | $12,600.03 |
$-400.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $64.98 | 193 | $12,540.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $68.44 | 193 | $13,208.92 | $13,268.78 |
+$668.75 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $72.99 | 181 | $13,211.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $70.74 | 181 | $12,803.94 | $12,861.53 |
$-407.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $73.39 | 175 | $12,843.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $70.81 | 175 | $12,391.75 | $12,410.03 |
$-451.50 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $70.51 | 176 | $12,409.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $68.19 | 176 | $12,001.62 | $12,001.92 |
$-408.11 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $73.77 | 162 | $11,950.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.30 | 162 | $11,550.60 | $11,601.78 |
$-400.14 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $73.90 | 156 | $11,528.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $71.14 | 156 | $11,097.84 | $11,171.22 |
$-430.56 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.39 | 152 | $11,155.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.46 | 152 | $11,773.92 | $11,789.86 |
+$618.64 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.60 | 153 | $11,719.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $80.47 | 153 | $12,311.91 | $12,381.97 |
+$592.11 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $86.25 | 143 | $12,333.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.55 | 143 | $11,804.65 | $11,852.87 |
$-529.10 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $79.58 | 148 | $11,777.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.72 | 148 | $11,354.56 | $11,429.59 |
$-423.28 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.99 | 168 | $11,422.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $65.86 | 168 | $11,065.00 | $11,072.27 |
$-357.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.24 | 193 | $11,046.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $55.42 | 193 | $10,697.02 | $10,722.94 |
$-349.33 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.03 | 198 | $10,698.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.34 | 198 | $10,363.32 | $10,388.00 |
$-334.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.28 | 206 | $10,356.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $48.76 | 206 | $10,043.53 | $10,074.88 |
$-313.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,074.88
Net Profit/Loss:
+$74.88
Total Return:
+0.75%